The Super Bowl is set and the 2013 NFL draft mocks are being updated accordingly. Baltimore and San Francisco are locked in to fight for the Lombardi Trophy and to determine the final two slots in April's draft.
The East-West Shrine Game, Raycom All-Star Game and NFLPA Collegiate Bowl all went down this weekend, too. None of those players looked like first-round-caliber prospects, but don't be surprised if some of them jump into the second day this year.
Who is your favorite team going to go after with their coveted first-round pick? Will they draft for need or for value?
Let's take a look at an updated mock draft that combines both value and need to lay out the perfect first-round pick for each team.
Well, besides the Washington Redskins. Their pick is riding on the success of Robert Griffin III's rehabilitation from offseason knee surgery.
1. Kansas City Chiefs (2-14): Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia
Andy Reid needs his quarterback and neither Brady Quinn nor Matt Cassel fits the bill. Smith may not be the best value pick here, but he could be dangerous behind center in an offense that features Jamaal Charles toting the ball.
The NFL is moving towards the read option and Smith, while not a master of it in college, has certainly shown he has the capability to run it with his scrambling ability. Smith isn’t a run-first QB by any means and can connect on all of the big-league throws Reid will need him to make.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-14): Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M
Damontre Moore is the prototypical pass-rusher that the Jacksonville Jaguars desperately need. He isn’t too big, but is very strong and uses his lighter frame and excellent strength to get into the offensive backfield.
Jacksonville was dead last in the NFL with only 20 sacks in all of 2012. That’s an unacceptable number in a league that is dominated by throwing the football.
3. Oakland Raiders (4-12): Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah
Oakland, surprisingly, wasn’t the worst rush defending team in the league, although they were pushed around for significant periods up front. Injuries along the line of scrimmage helped attribute to those struggles.
Star Lotulelei is easily the best defensive tackle prospect in this class and will provide much-needed power in the middle of the Raiders’ defense.
4. Philadelphia Eagles (4-12): Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M
Michael Vick and LeSean McCoy are going to need a big, physical tackle like Luke Joeckel up front if they are going to effectively employ Chip Kelly’s offense.
Sure, it may not be anything like his quick strike scheme at Oregon. But, it will require a mauler like Joeckel to set the edge and even pull outside to block on the second level and help spring the speedy athletes of the Eagles.
5. Detroit Lions (4-12): Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama
Detroit needs some help in its secondary and Dee Milliner would immediately improve and help create depth there. Milliner is a big and strong corner that can get in the face of the bigger receivers in the league at the line of scrimmage.
6. Cleveland Browns (5-11): Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia
The coaching staff overhaul in Cleveland could signal a shift from the 4-3 defense to the 3-4 scheme. Jarvis Jones could come in immediately and play opposite of Jabaal Sheard, potentially, as outside backers in this scheme.
Jones comes with some risk, due to his “mild” case of spinal stenosis that almost ended his playing career. The condition is a narrowing of the spinal column. It hasn’t seemed to affect Jones and the Browns could get the best player in the draft at No. 6.
7. Arizona Cardinals (5-11): Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama
Injuries and struggles along the line of scrimmage prevented the Arizona Cardinals from taking flight in 2012. That’s where Chance Warmack comes in. The big, physical guard would immediately help in both the pass and running game.
The Cards could go with Eric Fisher or a quarterback here, but the team desperately needs a player like Warmack who can pull and create running lanes for their rushing game.
8. Buffalo Bills (6-10): Ryan Nassib, QB, Syracuse
This is a bit of a stretch here considering the lack of current attention being paid to Syracuse’s Ryan Nassib. Buffalo committed to Ryan Fitzpatrick in 2011 as its QB of the future, but the recent coaching change could easily nullify that commitment.
Nassib was the leader of new head coach Doug Marrone’s offense at Syracuse. Marrone is bringing nearly his entire staff from ‘Cuse with him to Buffalo. Bringing the quarterback along makes sense, too.
9. New York Jets (6-10): Barkevious Mingo, OLB, LSU
The New York Jets need some physicality on the edges of their defense. They’ve gotten some productivity out of their defense ends but could definitely use a spark from the linebacker position. Barkevious Mingo is a tremendous athlete that could wreak havoc in Rex Ryan’s defense.
10. Tennessee Titans (6-10): Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
The Tennessee Titans weren’t bad at getting after the quarterback in 2012, but struggled in maintaining control over the edge. That helped opposing teams run the football for nearly 130 yards per game.
Werner is a big and physical defensive end prospect that would immediately help change their struggles in that area. He has the tools to be a threat in both pass and rush defenses.
11. San Diego Chargers (7-9): Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan
Philip Rivers was on the run for nearly all of the 2012 season. He struggled with that pressure, too, and had one of the worst seasons of his career as a result. Central Michigan’s Eric Fisher is the best offensive tackle prospect in this class outside of Joeckel and will help give Rivers more time next season.
12. Miami Dolphins (7-9): Keenan Allen, WR, California
There doesn’t seem to be a consensus No. 1 wide receiver in this class and there won’t likely be one prior to April’s draft. The Senior Bowl won’t have much of an impact on the class considering most of the top targets are underclassmen.
Allen has prototypical size and speed that makes him an attractive option for the Miami Dolphins. They have the speedy and smaller options like Brian Hartline and Davone Bess. Adding Allen could complete their receiver corps and help them establish a more well-rounded offensive attack in 2013.
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-9): Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State
If the Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass on Xavier Rhodes or Johnthan Banks here we would be really surprised. The Bucs’ secondary was notoriously suspect in 2012 and won’t get any better without adding multiple prospects during the offseason.
Rhodes is a big, physical corner that will help the Bucs deal with the passing offenses of the NFC South. Banks is a possibility here but Rhodes has bigger upside because of his size and strength.
14. Carolina Panthers (7-9): Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State
Johnathan Hankins is an absolute load. He has the ability to eat up blockers, double teams and keep his lanes filled to break up plays. That will allow other Carolina defenders to make plays and stop the big runs up the middle the Panthers saw at times in 2012.
15. New Orleans Saints (7-9): Sylvester Williams, DT, North Carolina
With Hankins off the board the New Orleans Saints will need to make a difficult decision here at No. 15. There are a lot of good defensive prospects in this draft, but ultimately they will go with Sylvester Williams, who can fill the same role Hankins would have in the middle of their defensive line.
16. St. Louis Rams (7-8-1): D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama
The St. Louis Rams need a big, physical blocker to continue to keep Sam Bradford upright and rejuvenate their rushing attack. Fluker was a big part of Alabama’s sustained success and could come in to the physical NFC West and play from day one.
St. Louis has two mid-first-round picks and can get better on both sides of the line of scrimmage. They passed on Robert Griffin III, but they’ll get better overall as team much faster as a result.
17. Pittsburgh Steelers (8-8): Ezekiel Ansah, LB, BYU
There are some concerns about how far along Ansah is and how ready he is for the NFL. But he won’t be needed to come in right away and explode for the Steelers. Their defense is still on top and he can be brought along and developed in order to maximize his vast potential.
Pittsburgh has a good track record of making moves just like this one and will get a ton of value out of taking the gamble.
18. Dallas Cowboys (8-8): Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina
Running the football wasn’t easy for the Dallas Cowboys, no matter who was carrying it out of the backfield. The Cowboys could definitely use some help up front and Johnathan Cooper is the best available relief for them at this point in the draft.
Cooper is described as a “complete guard,” by ESPN’s Mel Kiper, and definitely has the tools to help establish the run better for Dallas next season.
19. New York Giants (9-7): Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State
The New York Giants got progressively worse in defending the pass last season. While defensive end is definitely a priority, the team desperately needs smart and instinctive cornerbacks that can keep plays in front of them and prevent the big gains.
Banks is all of those things and will help them in that regard. Defensive end, specifically Dion Jordan, is also a possibility here considering the age of their current unit.
20. Chicago Bears (10-6): Manti Te'o, ILB, Notre Dame
It hasn’t been a great offseason for Notre Dame’s Manti Te’o. The decorated Fighting Irish linebacker was riding high as one of the best stories of the 2012 college football season. That changed after a poor performance in the BCS Championship Game and subsequent fallout from a personal scandal.
Chicago has needs on its offensive line but doesn’t have many options here as many of the top players have been snatched up at this point. Te’o is a local Midwestern celebrity, and would be a huge addition to a very tough defense.
21. Cincinnati Bengals (10-6): Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon
Dion Jordan may not be available this late in the first round, but if he is you can be sure the Cincinnati Bengals will give him a look. Adding a quick and speedy pass-rusher like Jordan will help bring the Bengals’ already good pass rush to new heights in 2013.
22. St. Louis Rams (7-8-1) (from Washington): Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas
This pick makes sense on a lot of different levels. The St. Louis Rams could add another defensive lineman, but they need to solidify the safety position and have an extra first-rounder in order to get the best one in the draft here a No. 22.
23. Minnesota Vikings (10-6): Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee
Justin Hunter is arguably the best wide receiver in this class. The tall and physical receiver has the potential to be a No. 1 wide receiver at the NFL level. That sounds like a win for a Vikings team that is void of a player of that stature on its current roster.
Adding Hunter to create a group of Percy Harvin, Hunter and Jerome Simpson may take some of the pressure off of Adrian Peterson and allow Christian Ponder to take the next step as a QB in 2013.
24. Indianapolis Colts (11-5): John Jenkins, DT, Georgia
Indianapolis needs some help up the middle and Georgia’s John Jenkins would provide immediate relief for a defense that struggled to compete up front. The huge DT is a pure run-stuffer and space-eater that can play nose tackle in a 3-4 or the 1-technique in a 4-3 scheme.
25. Seattle Seahawks (11-5): Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri
Sheldon Richardson isn’t going to eat up double teams and clog rushing lanes. He should be able to use his strength and explosiveness to play both outside and inside on an already impressive Seattle Seahawks defensive line, though.
That explosiveness will help him get into the backfield and after the quarterback and break up plays before they can develop.
26. Green Bay Packers (11-5): Kevin Minter, LB, LSU
The Green Bay Packers have it all offensively, but will need to get better at stopping the run. That’s especially true after the team looked to lack fundamentals while Colin Kaepernick ran all over them in their divisional-round loss to the San Francisco 49ers.
Minter is a strong and instinctive middle linebacker that will help prevent embarrassments like their recent playoff loss from happening again.
27. Houston Texans (12-4): Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor
The Houston Texans are an excellent running team. Their offensive line is built for moving defenders and creating creases for Arian Foster to get through. But, in the passing game, Matt Schaub lacks reliable targets outside of tight end Owen Daniels and wide receiver Andrew Johnson.
Adding a player like Williams, who is both reliable and fast, will help to keep defenses more honest and add another dimension to their offense.
28. Denver Broncos (13-3): Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame
Denver could use another marquee tight end to go along with standout WRs Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas. Not to take anything away from Jacob Tamme and Joel Dreessen, but Eifert would be a huge upgrade and make an instant impact on the team’s passing game.
Whoever eventually replaces Peyton Manning at QB is going to need a top-tier target like Eifert to help him transition to the game, too.
29. New England Patriots (12-4): Matt Elam, S, Florida
New England’s pass defense got better with the addition of Aqib Talib from the Tampa Buccaneers. Talib missed much of the Pats' AFC Championship Game loss to Baltimore and the Ravens exposed their secondary.
Those improvements aren’t done, obviously. Elam is the best available safety here and is NFL ready after a very successful career at Florida.
30. Atlanta Falcons (13-3): Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU
The Atlanta Falcons need a pass-rusher and LSU’s Sam Montgomery would certainly fit the bill. That’s especially true if he falls into their laps here like this mock suggests. The pick, in this instance, is a no-brainer and would help improve Atlanta’s ability to pressure the quarterback exponentially next season.
31. *Baltimore Ravens (10-6): Alec Ogletree, LB, Georgia
Ray Lewis is gone. That is, unless he changes his mind and decides to play for an 18th-consecutive season. That means the Ravens are going to need a physical and imposing presence in the middle of their defense. Ogletree is an athletic freak with a motor that is hard to match.
32. *San Francisco 49ers (11-4-1): Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia
What does a well-rounded and effective team that just went to the Super Bowl need? More offensive firepower, please. The Niners have it all and have the luxury of taking a player like Tavon Austin here at the bottom of the first round.
*Indicates pick is still to be determined based on result of Super Bowl
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