Ravens vs. Patriots: Complete Gambling Guide and Picks for AFC Championship Game

Alex KayCorrespondent IJanuary 17, 2013

BALTIMORE, MD - SEPTEMBER 23: Cornerback Lardarius Webb #21 of the Baltimore Ravens tackles wide receiver Wes Welker #83 of the New England Patriots during the fourth quarter of the Ravens 31-30 win at M&T Bank Stadium on September 23, 2012 in Baltimore, Maryland.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
Rob Carr/Getty Images

The New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens are getting set to square off in the AFC Championship Game, a rematch that some—at least many gamblers—are hoping isn’t as thrilling as last year’s nail-biter.

If you are looking to place a wager down on this game, there’s definitely some value to be found, despite the relatively large spread and massive over/under.

Let’s take a look at the latest lines (courtesy of ScoresAndOdds.com) and make some picks and predictions on the outcome.


Point Spread: NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-9) over Baltimore Ravens

We’re taking the heavy favorite here because we believe New England is the vastly superior team.

On top of that, the Pats have a solid home-field advantage, and their coaching staff knows how to beat these guys after seeing them in last year’s conference championship and early in the 2012 campaign.

While losing Rob Gronkowski (and possibly Chandler Jones) is a huge blow for NE, they have the role players waiting in the wings to step up and fill the void.

There’s also big reason to pick against the Ravens, as they are coming off one of the most emotional postseason wins in recent NFL history, and it’s tough to see them mustering that much effort to beat an even better team this week.

They gave everything they had in that double overtime battle against the Denver Broncos, and Baltimore just won’t have the firepower to get it done in Foxborough on Sunday.


Over/Under: OVER 51.5

As crazy as picking an over that is above 50 with the Ravens D involved, it would be even more ridiculous to take the under with the Pats offense firing on all cylinders.

The vaunted Houston Texans didn’t have a chance to contain New England in the divisional round, conceding over 40 points for the second time in approximately a month.

Tom Brady is at the absolute top of his game and his receivers—notably Wes Welker, Brandon Lloyd, Aaron Hernandez—and RBs—Stevan Ridley and Shane Vereen—have been dominant.

There isn’t a team in the NFL that has the proper defensive personnel to stop all these weapons, and that includes the Ravens on Sunday.

Coupled with the fact that Baltimore is more than capable of putting a few points up on the board, we know this one is going over and project the final score to be: New England 35, Baltimore 24.