WAIT…before you close the screen, hear me out!
Do I honestly believe that Wes Welker is going anywhere? With about an 87% certainty I would say no, but we have to consider some things.
Welker has been statistically one of the best receivers in the league for several years now. In five of the last six seasons, Welker has posted 110-plus receptions.
In those five seasons, he has over 1,100 receiving yards, averages a first down every time he touches the ball, and has been in the top-10 in the NFL in first downs among receivers.
He played under the franchise tag in 2012 and produced his second-highest career totals in yardage (1,354) and first downs (72). As mentioned in a previous article, the Patriots’ top priority this offseason is to sign Wes Welker.
Teams will be clamoring for him if the Pats don’t use the franchise tag again. With those types of numbers, what team wouldn’t want this third-down ace—who averaged 13.3 YPC on third and fourth downs with nine or more yards to go—on their roster?
Here’s the other side of the coin: Welker is a 31-year-old receiver who is under six feet and who is a product of a spectacular offense led by one of the greatest quarterbacks in NFL history.
Welker prospers in the Patriots’ offense and I’m positive that he wouldn’t have an equal effect somewhere else. It really helps when you’ve had the pleasure of Randy Moss, Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez drawing away coverage.
This isn’t meant to deny Welker’s talent, but any team that’s looking to throw around big money and blow the cap for the next few years to land Welker may want to proceed with caution.
History has shown that you can have the best receiver in the league and still finish 4-12.
Follow Walt J as he comes to you on his blog “Live From AREA 49″ with his rants on the world of sports from the fan perspective. Whether it’s picks against the spread, fantasy football tips, or sheer frustration with your team, AREA 49 has a place for you. Follow him on Twitter at @A49_WaltJ and @area49sports, and on Facebook.