Chris Humphreys-USA TODAY Sports
Torrey Smith, Ravens: 3 catches, 68 yards, TD
Anquan Boldin, Ravens: 4 catches, 54 yards
Jacoby Jones, Ravens: 2 catches, 34 yards
Tandon Doss, Ravens: 1 catch, 24 yards
Wes Welker, Patriots: 8 catches, 99 yards, TD
Brandon Lloyd, Patriots: 4 catches, 55 yards
Deion Branch, Patriots: 2 catches, 29 yards
Danny Woodhead, Patriots: 3 catches, 25 yards
Smith: 4 catches, 132 yards, 2 TDs (high); 0 catches, 0 yards (low)
Boldin: 10 catches, 101 yards, TD (high); 1 catch, 4 yards (low)
Jones: 4 catches, 100 yards, 2 TDs (high); 0 catches, zero yards (low)
Doss: 2 catches, 90 yards, TD (high); 0 catches, 0 yards (low)
Welker: 12 catches, 142 yards, 2 TDs (high); 4 catches, 70 yards, TD (low)
Lloyd: 5 catches, 98 yards, TD (high); 1 catch, 7 yards (low)
Branch: 5 catches, 77 yards (high); 0 catches, 0 yards (low)
Woodhead: 5 catches, 45 yards, TD (high); 0 catches, 0 yards (low)
What the Results Point to
The simulations come out as most would expect.
Welker and Smith carry the load for their respective passing games, while Boldin and Lloyd play complimentary roles.
An interesting trend that came out of the simulations is the variance in secondary receivers playing a large role this weekend. When Jacoby Jones and Tandon Doss hit their outlying numbers, the Ravens won the game; same outcome for Branch and Woodhead too. When they hit their outliers, Pats won.
Note: Woodhead is listed as a receiver because he carried the football just three times over the simulations. His impact was much more evident in the passing game.