At the start of last week, there were four undefeated teams in the country. Now there are none.
Wyoming, Arizona, Duke and Michigan all suffered their first loss of the season, which resulted in a bit of a shakeup among the top three lines in my latest projections.
As always, I am not trying to guess how teams will finish the year. Rather, I am simply seeding them based on their current resumes.
I like to break teams down into three categories:
1. Wallflowers are bubble teams, because everyone wants to get into the Big Dance, but not all of them have the guts to ask a girl out onto the dance floor.
2. An Elite team that is safely in the field is "Dancing with a Hottie."
3. A school in the middle is "Dancing with Its Sister."
For two of the past three years, my final bracket projections have been more accurate than those of ESPN's Joe Lunardi, and I had the most accurate projections in the country in 2011.
I'll begin with the two First Four at-large-bid games:
(12a) Florida State vs. (12d) Indiana State
(12b) Charlotte vs. (12c) Texas A&M
First 9 Teams Out: UMass, Colorado State, Arkansas, Iowa State, Arizona State, Wisconsin, Saint Joseph's, Maryland, La Salle
The projections are presented in slideshow format, with each major conference receiving its own slide.
First up is the ACC.