NFL Divisional Playoff Betting Trends: Seahawks, Packers Nasty Underdogs

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistJanuary 8, 2013

FOXBORO, MA - DECEMBER 30: Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots shouts instructions against the Miami Dolphins at Gillette Stadium in the second quarter on December 30, 2012 in Foxboro, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)
Jim Rogash/Getty Images

Denver has won 12 straight in this situation and Baltimore has lost 16 straight in this situation.

Is there any wonder why oddsmakers have the Broncos as 9.5-point favorites over the Ravens this weekend on the NFL divisional playoffs odds menu?

Yes, the Broncos are 12-0 SU as a favorite, including a profitable 10-2 ATS mark. And yes, the Ravens have lost 16 games in a row as an underdog of 9 points or more since 1994.

"The lone positive Ravens trend here is head-to-head, where they are 7-2 ATS in nine meetings with Denver, but those were the Peyton Manning-less Broncos," Jack Randall, a handicapping analyst at, said this morning in an interview.

The weekend's other big favorite faces some negative trends. New England lays 9.5 points to Houston and the Patriots are trying to improve upon their 1-6 ATS mark in seven playoff games since 2008.

They face a Texans team that has been terrific in January (5-0 ATS) and perfect (at least at the betting window) in the playoffs at 3-0 ATS. Houston is also 6-1 ATS as an underdog in its last seven tries, but they did get pummeled by the Pats in December.

The small favorites—Atlanta and San Francisco—face the nastiest underdogs in the league in the Seahawks and Packers respectively.

The Falcons lay just 2.5 points to Seattle, a team riding a devastating 15-3-1 ATS mark in its last 19 games as an underdog.

And the 49ers, a 3-point home chalk to Green Bay, must fend off a couple of nasty trends. The Packers have won 13 of 16 meetings with San Francisco and are 6-0-1 ATS in seven recent visits here.

And don't forget their nasty bite as a dog—12-3-1 ATS in their past 16 tries in this position. Check out more NFL Divisional Playoff trends (courtesy of the NFL database).



Baltimore +9.5 at Denver -9.5

Ravens are 7-2 ATS past 9 vs. Denver
Broncos 4-1 ATS at home in playoffs since 2000
Broncos 8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS past 9 home games
Broncos won 11 straight, 9-2 ATS
Broncos 12-0 SU, 10-2 ATS past 12 as favorite
Ravens 2-9 SU past 11 games as underdog
Ravens 0-16 SU as dog of 9 or more since 1994



Green Bay +3 at San Francisco -3

Packers 13-3 SU (12-3-1 ATS) past 16 vs. 49ers
Packers lost once here since 1980 (6-1 SU, 6-0-1 ATS)
Packers 12-3-1 ATS past 16 games as underdog
OVER is 7-1 past 8 49ers games overall



Seattle +2.5 at Atlanta -2.5

OVER is 5-1 past 6 meetings since 2002
Seahawks won and covered 3 straight road games
Seahawks 10-3 ATS past 13 games
UNDER is 6-1 past 7 Atlanta games
Seahawks 15-3-1 ATS past 19 games as underdog
UNDER is 9-2 past 11 Falcon games when favored
Falcons won 7 straight vs. NFC West teams
Falcons 3-7 ATS in playoffs since 2000



Houston +9.5 at New England -9.5 

All four career meetings played OVER total
Texans 5-0 ATS past 5 games in January
Texans 6-1 ATS past 7 as underdog
Texans 7-2 SU past 9 vs. AFC East teams
Texans 3-0 ATS lifetime in playoffs
Patriots 1-6 ATS in playoffs since 2008


All odds, stats and trends mentioned courtesy of Mike Pickett is an Analyst at Bleacher Report and contributes to the Twitter feed.