This pick might surprise a few fans.
Evans has climbed his way to a potential late lottery pick with his play as of late.
He's one of those guys that likely wouldn't drop his stock if he stays another year, even if 2010 is going to be a much stronger draft class. But Evans would be much more NBA-ready and contribute right away.
Memphis played significantly better this season when Calipari rotated Evans from a wing slot to point guard. Evans himself also took off. He increased his scoring, became a strong rebounder for a guard, and was a thief defensively.
For the season, he's averaged 17 points, six rebounds, and two steals along with nearly one block.
His frame is also advanced at the college level. Being 6'5" and close to 200 pounds as a point guard has allowed Evans to use that strength to get into the paint and either finish through contact or get to the line. Many college guards that are guarding him, especially in Conference USA, just can't match up to Evans with his height and strength.
That's the good. Now the bad.
Though Evans has rotated to the point guard position, his shot attempts are still up and his shot selections are still as questionable as they was to start the season. Does it make any sense to have a point guard that wants the ball at all times? His turnovers haven't seemed to decrease either as he's averaging nearly four per game.
That's nearly as many turnovers (3.6) as his assists (3.9).
His fundamentals on his jumpshot should raise eyebrows from NBA scouts also. Not only does Evans take questionable shots, but he fades away every time while doing so—even when he is wide open. With these kind of mechanics, he's only been able to convert 28 percent of his three-point attempts (and he takes three to four attempts per game). It also makes shots off the dribble awkward for Evans with the kind of shooting form he uses.
The shot mechanics for Evans will need to be completely reconstructed if he wants to ever be a great shooter in the NBA.
Now, after comparing the good and bad, another year for Evans could erase several weaknesses.
This is only assuming that Evans can trust the rest of his teammates and develop a team-first mentality.
With his height and handles, Evans' court vision and decision making can certainly be improved if he stays for the 2009-2010 season. Thanks to five incoming freshman next year, this shouldn't be too much of a problem as it might've been this year.
Memphis is bringing in an absolutely sick recruiting class next year. Along with bringing in three four-star recruits, according to rivals.com, the Tigers also bring in two McDonald's All-Americans. DeMarcus Cousins and Xavier Henry, two potential one-and-dones, are players that have the fundamentals, strength, and athleticism to create high percentage shots.
They both will surely help scouts prove that Evans can be a team player as well as jack up his assists-to-turnover ratio also.
If Evans stays in school one more year, not only can he show scouts that he can be more of a team player and a smarter point guard, but he can also bring Memphis back to the Final Four and a great shot at an NCAA Title.