First-round draft order of non-playoffs teams is updated through December 30.
1. Kansas City Chiefs: Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia
Someone is going to gamble on Geno Smith early in the draft, and the Chiefs get the first shot. With a full rebuilding project on their hands, odds are they opt for the quarterback.
2. Jacksonville Jaguars: Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
The Jaguars have a glaring hole at defensive end, and Werner is arguably the draft’s top prospect. This is a safe pick to get the franchise back on the right track.
3. Oakland Raiders: Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah
The Raiders have some options, but the depth at defensive line in this year’s class likely leads them to either Lotulelei or Damontre Moore. With Richard Seymour likely on his way out, Lotulelei makes the most sense.
4. Philadelphia Eagles: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M
When healthy, the Eagles have a reasonably solid offensive line. However, serious health issues linger and Joeckel may be too good to pass up.
5. Detroit Lions: Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M
Kyle Vanden Bosch is coming off a rough year and may be too expensive to return. Moore would fill a glaring hole and provide their front seven will another dangerous weapon.
6. Cleveland Browns: Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama
Dick Jauron has built one of the top up-and-coming defenses in Cleveland, but the secondary is still one or two pieces away from being an elite unit.
7. Arizona Cardinals: Taylor Lewan, OT, Michigan
The Cardinals have question marks at quarterback, but both Kevin Kolb and John Skelton have shown enough to be given another chance behind an upgraded offensive line.
8. Buffalo Bills: Manti Te’o, LB, Notre Dame
Linebacker may not be at the top of the Bills wish list, but Te’o is too good to pass up. He would start immediately at either inside or strong-side linebacker.
9. New York Jets: Jarvis Jones, LB, Georgia
As bad as the Jets offense has been, there simply isn’t another offensive weapon worthy of a top-10 pick. Their next best option will be to add a pass rusher such as Jones or Barkevious Mingo.
10. Tennessee Titans: Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State
The Titans could use a nose tackle to pair with Jurrell Casey. Hankins is coming off a down year, but his raw talent will land him in the upper half of the first round.
11. San Diego Chargers: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan
The Chargers offensive line has struggled in recent years, especially on the right side. Fisher would take over for Jeromy Clary at right tackle.
12. Miami Dolphins: Keenan Allen, WR, California
No wide receiver will have a consensus top-15 grade, but the Dolphins may be desperate enough to find a weapon for Ryan Tannehill to gamble on Allen.
13. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State
The Bucs upgraded the secondary with Mark Barron last offseason, but there is still work to be done. Once Dee Milliner is off the board, Banks is the next best option in the secondary.
14. Carolina Panthers: John Jenkins, DT, Georgia
The Panthers interior defensive line is a mess. Fortunately Jenkins is one of a number of defensive tackles who will receive solid first-round grades.
15. New Orleans Saints: Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU
Will Smith likely won’t be back, opening up a glaring hole on an already shaky defensive line. Ansah is a bit of a project but will immediately upgrade their pass rush.
16. St. Louis Rams: Jake Matthews, OT, Texas A&M
Matthews' upside is limited, but he will offer an immediate upgrade at right tackle in St. Louis.
17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State
The Steelers veteran secondary still gets the job done, but GM Kevin Colbert always tries to fill holes before they open up.
18. Dallas Cowboys: Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama
The Cowboys have a glaring hole on the interior offensive line. Warmack is an elite prospect and may be worth trading up for if the Cowboys believe he can solve their issues.
19. New York Giants: Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon
The Giants don’t have an immediate hole to fill on the defensive line, but their front seven has always been successful due to their impressive depth. Jordan could be their next project to groom for a starting role down the road.
20. Chicago Bears: Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame
21. St. Louis Rams (from Redskins): Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina
The Rams may double dip into the pool of offensive line prospects. Cooper is a notch below Warmack, but still a solid first-round option.
22. Minnesota Vikings: Terrance Williams, WR, Baylor
Williams hasn’t received as much hype as other receivers in this year’s class, but he’s a reliable playmaker who reminds me of a young Andre Johnson.
23. Cincinnati Bengals: Barkevious Mingo, DE, LSU
The Bengals front office has made a habit of snagging high-upside prospects who slide down the board. Mingo would fit perfectly as a situational pass rusher early in his career.
24. Indianapolis Colts: Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri
Richardson is a perfect fit as an end/tackle hybrid in Chuck Pagano’s defensive scheme.
25. Seattle Seahawks: Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee
Patterson has the size to develop into a No. 1 receiver and could be groomed alongside Russell Wilson.
26. Baltimore Ravens: Kevin Minter, LB, LSU
The Ray Lewis era is nearly over and they learned this year just how difficult that will be. Minter and Alex Ogletree should both be high on their board.
27. Green Bay Packers: Giovani Bernard, RB, North Carolina
Aaron Rodgers has carried this team, but he can only do so much until the running game is established again.
28. San Francisco 49ers: Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia
The 49ers depth at receiver is impressive, but they could use another playmaker. Austin isn’t a No. 1 receiver, but he would fit perfectly as a Percy Harvin-like weapon in Jim Harbaugh’s offense.
29. Houston Texans: DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Clemson
Andre Johnson is getting up there in years and would be aided by the support of a strong second option in the offense.
30. New England Patriots: Matt Elam, S, Florida
Elam is the top strong safety prospect in this year’s draft and would start immediately in New England.
31. Denver Broncos: Jesse Williams, DT, Alabama
The Broncos defensive line has performed well as a group, but could still use some upgrades at individual positions. Williams would provide a physical presence at nose tackle.
32. Atlanta Falcons: Zach Ertz, TE, Stanford
Tony Gonzalez is vital to the Falcons offense, but won’t be around much longer.
33. Jacksonville Jaguars: Matt Barkley, QB, USC
The Jaguars may be hesitant to gamble on a quarterback in the first round, but this could be a spot to bring in some competition for Blaine Gabbert.
34. Kansas City Chiefs: Jordan Poyer, CB, Oregon State
The Chiefs secondary missed Brandon Carr this year.
35. Philadelphia Eagles: Kawann Short, DT, Purdue
Fletcher Cox showed some promise this year, but the Eagles could still use another young prospect on the defensive line.
36. Detroit Lions: Alec Ogletree, LB, Georgia
If the Lions don’t add Manti Te’o in the first round, they will need to target a linebacker later in the draft.
37. Cincinnati Bengals (from Raiders): Montee Ball, RB, Wisconsin
BenJarvus Green-Ellis had his moments this year, but clearly isn’t the franchise back the Bengals need for the long haul.
38. Arizona Cardinals: Barrett Jones, C, Alabama
One offensive lineman won’t be enough to fix the Cardinals issues. Jones’ versatility will give them some options to juggle their rebuilt line.
39. New York Jets: Tyler Wilson, QB, Arkansas
The Jets need to move on from Sanchez, but should probably wait until the second round for a quarterback rather than reaching in the first round.
40. Tennessee Titans: Sam Montgomery, DE, LSU
The Titans need to improve the depth in the front seven and could potentially target defensive linemen in the first and second rounds.
41. Buffalo Bills: Ryan Nassib, QB, Syracuse
Nassib has flown under the radar, but could challenge Wilson and Barkley to be the second quarterback off the board.
42. Miami Dolphins: John Simon, DE, Ohio State
Simon is an end/tackle ‘tweener who should fit in nicely in Miami’s defensive front seven.
43. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Alex Okafor, DE, Texas
The Bucs have a young, up-and-coming defense, but are still a few pieces away. Okafor could challenge Da’Quan Bowers and Adrian Clayborn for a starting job.
44. Carolina Panthers: Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee
Hunter is the most talented receiver in this year’s class, but falls due to his injuries and inconsistent play.
45. San Diego Chargers: Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington
The end is near for Quentin Jammer and the Chargers are lacking depth in the secondary.
46. St. Louis Rams: Quinton Patton, WR, Louisiana Tech
Sam Bradford deserves another weapon. Patton would be a nice complement to Danny Amendola.
47. Pittsburgh Steelers: Cobi Hamilton, WR, Arkansas
Cobi Hamilton could be the big receiver Ben Roethlisberger has been wanting for years.
48. Washington Redskins: Robert Woods, WR, USC
Woods’ play-making ability after the catch fits perfectly in the system the Redskins have designed for RG3.
49. New York Giants: Oday Aboushi, OT, Virginia
The Giants need to add some young linemen to groom for starting roles down the road.
50. Chicago Bears: Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma
Johnson is a project, but has the athleticism to develop into a strong left tackle.
51. Dallas Cowboys: Sylvester Williams, DT, North Carolina
Jay Ratliff’s injuries and Josh Brent’s legal issues raise some questions at nose tackle.
52. Minnesota Vikings: Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida
Floyd is an athletic interior lineman who would add an interior pass rusher the Vikings front seven.
53. Cincinnati Bengals: Kenny Vaccaro, S, Texas
Vaccaro could potentially play strong or free safety at the next level and could complete for a starting job at either position in Cincinnati.
54. Miami Dolphins: David Amerson, CB, N.C. State
Amerson is a safety/corner 'tweener who would add depth to a depleted secondary in Miami.
55. Seattle Seahawks: Kyle Long, OT, Oregon
Long could start immediately at right tackle for the Seahawks.
56. Baltimore Ravens: Da’Rick Rogers, WR, Tennessee Tech
Rogers is a first-round talent who falls due to some character concerns, but the Ravens have always been willing to gamble on prospects with similar concerns.
57. Green Bay Packers: Brian Winters, OT, Kent State
Winters is exactly the type of physical lineman the Packers love and could compete for a starting job at guard or tackle.
58. San Francisco 49ers: Logan Ryan, CB, Rutgers
The 49ers need to upgrade the depth in their secondary and could add a corner or free safety here.
59. Houston Texans: Eric Reid, S, LSU
Glover Quin is a free agent and Reid would be an upgrade at free safety.
60. New England Patriots: Will Davis, CB, Utah State
The Patriots don’t necessarily need a starting cornerback, but depth is a concern in the secondary.
61. Denver Broncos: Eddie Lacy, RB, Alabama
The end is near for Willis McGahee. Ronnie Hillman and Lacy's addition would give the Broncos a strong thunder-and-lightning attack.
62. Atlanta Falcons: Corey Lemonier, DE, Auburn
The recent release of Ray Edwards opened up an immediate hole at defensive end in Atlanta.
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