Louisville doesn't have the run defense to stop Florida's offense and the Gators have the pass defense to limit quarterback Teddy Bridgewater.
It will lead to a blowout in the 2013 Sugar Bowl.
No. 3 Florida is coming off a fantastic showing against in-state rival Florida State on Nov. 24. In the 37-26 victory, senior Mike Gillislee (who has led the team all season long) and freshman Matt Jones combined for 221 yards and three touchdowns on the ground.
That is, despite going up against a run defense that is still allowing only 2.76 yards per carry, fifth in the nation (via CFBStats.com). That includes holding Georgia Tech's dynamic option offense to 3.5 yards per carry in the ACC Championship Game.
If Florida did that against Florida State, how can you expect Louisville's pliable run defense to succeed against the Gators?
The No. 21 Cardinals have allowed 4.33 yards per carry this season, good for 73rd in the country. That's despite mainly facing Big East competition.
It gets worse.
Sophomore quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, undeniably the force that drives Louisville's offense, will likely be limited by Florida.
The Gators are not only allowing 5.4 yards per pass attempt this season (fourth in the nation), they've ceded just five passing touchdowns (second) while notching 19 interceptions (tied for seventh). If that's not a dominant pass defense, I don't know what is.
That includes limiting Tennessee's Tyler Bray (5.8 yards per attempt, two touchdowns, two interceptions), Georgia's Aaron Murray (6.3 yards per attempt, one touchdown, three interceptions) and Florida State's E.J. Manuel (5.5 yards per attempt, one touchdown, three interceptions).
By the way, Murray leads the country in yards per attempt this season (9.8) and he's tossed 31 touchdowns to eight interceptions.
It all adds up to a dominant performance by Florida in the 2013 Sugar Bowl as the Big East once again is embarrassed on a national stage.
What are your thoughts?