2013 NFL Draft: Breaking Down the Draft Stock of Logan Thomas

Korey BeckettContributor IIIDecember 28, 2012

BLACKSBURG, VA - NOVEMBER 24:  Quarterback Logan Thomas #3 of the Virginia Tech Hokies throws the ball as defensive end Jake Snyder #90 of the Virginia Cavaliers chases at Lane Stadium on November 24, 2012 in Blacksburg, Virginia.  (Photo by Geoff Burke/Getty Images)
Geoff Burke/Getty Images

Each season, many underclassmen declare early for the NFL Draft and one of the more intriguing prospects that is trying to make that decision is Virginia Tech quarterback Logan Thomas.

Now, Virginia Tech may have had their worst regular season since 1992, but there is no doubt that Logan Thomas has the size, and he may have the skill, to be a star quarterback in the NFL.


The first thing you will notice about Thomas is his tremendous stature. He's listed at 6 feet 6 inches and an astounding 262 pounds. Immediately, the thoughts turn to Ben Roethlisberger and Cam Newton when thinking of similar-sized quarterbacks.

Roethlisberger is listed at 6 feet 5 inches and 247 pounds while Cam Newton is reported at 6 feet 5 inches and 245 pounds. Thomas may be a little bit bigger than both, but he's in-between the two when it comes to speed.


Cam Newton's 40-yard dash time is listed at 4.58 seconds while Roethlisberger is at 4.75, with Logan Thomas sitting at 4.67. He's not as likely to take off and run as much as Newton, but he does have 528 rushing yards and 9 touchdowns on the ground in 2012.

He won't be able to maintain those kinds of rushing statistics on the next level, but you know the threat of a large quarterback that can take off and run at anytime is becoming prototypical in today's NFL.


The primary thing that Thomas will have to work on before the draft is his accuracy. Watching him throw the ball can be uncomfortable at times and he tends to badly miss his targets more than a Virginia Tech fan would want him to.

If you take all of the quarterbacks in the Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) this season and rank them in terms of completion percentage, Thomas would rank No. 108.

Yes, No. 108.

At 52.6 percent success when tossing the ball, it puts him behind underwhelming quarterbacks such as Tanner Price of Wake Forest and Chase Rettig of Boston College, and that's just in Thomas's own conference of the ACC.

He doesn't make his best throws while under pressure the way that some of the higher-level NFL quarterbacks like Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady or Robert Griffin III do. He appears frazzled as soon as one player gets past the line of scrimmage.

He'll have to learn how to stay calm under pressure, step up into the pocket and deliver an accurate strike. Right now, he is just too inconsistent to be an immediate NFL starter.

Throwing power

If you are six and a half feet tall and lobbing the ball no more than 30 yards downfield, you should probably find a new sport. That's not the case for Thomas, however.

Again, there's a Cam Newton comparison to be made here. The strength of their passes is nearly identical and it's clearly the strong point of his throwing abilities.

He takes a huge windup to make most of his throws which is where he gets that power, but it can be a bit troublesome at times. He's opening himself up for more sacks and turnovers, which leads me to my next point.


With 14 interceptions, Thomas is tied for No. 8 in terms of most picks thrown by FBS quarterbacks in 2012. Add in the fact that he is No. 13 in the nation with eight total fumbles, he has proven that he is a liability to an offense at this point.

He has the raw talent, so if he can cut down on the bad decisions and stop making the mistakes, he can prove to be a factor. He's rough around the edges right now, but the right coach should be able to help him make the necessary adjustments.


More and more teams in the NFL are looking for a dual-threat quarterback. It started as a fad when the Falcons took Michael Vick first overall in the 2002 NFL Draft, and has since become the prototype for young new talent.

As the Seahawks and Redskins have shown this season, having a wide-open playbook with an athletic quarterback hiding the ball on nearly every play can bring a lot of success.

Thomas doesn't have the capability that RGIII does at this point, and I doubt he ever will, but that doesn't mean he can't be a good quarterback.

Draft Stock

Before the 2012 season, there was some talk that Thomas's skill set could get him all the way up to No. 1 on the draft board.

That talk has been silenced due to a lack of improvement from his first full season at Virginia Tech. It seems that right now he's in danger of falling out of the first round so his draft stock is definitely slipping, but not dramatically like Da'Quan Bowers back in 2011 when he slipped from the No. 1 spot to late in the second round.

Where will he go?

Thomas hasn't made it clear that he's even going to the draft, and may stick around at Virginia Tech one more year to help his draft stock, so it's hard to say.

If he does enter the 2013 NFL Draft, then he will have the benefit of a weak quarterback class, which will help him tremendously.

He would be somewhere between No. 3 and No. 6 in terms of quarterbacks that are selected. It's certain that Geno Smith and Matt Barkley would be taken ahead of him, but there's no clear-cut quarterback left that would be ahead of him.

Tyler Wilson, Tyler Bray and Landry Jones would be the next biggest threats, but they haven't shown any more upside this season than Thomas has. And with Thomas's athleticism, that may put him ahead of all three.

There are NFL teams that are desperate for a quarterback. The Cardinals, Jets, Jaguars, Chiefs and possibly even the Raiders will be in the market for a new quarterback for their roster.

If he does go, it could be late in the first round or early in the second. But if he really wants to be in the top 10, or even the top five, he should stay one more year at Virginia Tech to fine tune his skills.

Korey Beckett is a Featured Columnist for Bleacher Report and can be contacted at koreydbeckett@gmail.com, 'Like' him on Facebook at http://www.facebook.com/koreybeckettBR.