NFL Week 17 Picks Against the Spread

Matt Schreiber@@schreiberstakeAnalyst IIIDecember 26, 2012

NFL Week 17 Picks Against the Spread

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    Week 17 of the NFL season is what everyone has been waiting for.

    Ten of 12 playoff spots are sealed up, with only two remaining.

    The Redskins take on the Cowboys to decide the NFC East. The Packers can knock out their division-rival Vikings. 

    Will Seattle stay scorching hot heading into the postseason?

    Let us take a look at my picks for Week 17 against the spread. My pick is denoted in the headline in caps.

    Last week: 8-8 (Schreiber's Week 16 Picks)

    All lines updated at 11:44 a.m. EST courtesy of VegasInsider.com.

New York Jets at BUFFALO BILLS (-3)

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    With how awful the Jets were last week and in previous weeks, it's hard to not pick against them.

    C.J. Spiller has owned the Jets in recent contests, and I don't see that changing this week.

    I like the Bills at home to win by at least three points.

MIAMI DOLPHINS (+10.5) at New England Patriots

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    How in the world did the Patriots almost lose to Jacksonville last week?

    It is pretty much known that they don't have a shot at a first-round bye in the playoffs, as the Broncos are a game ahead of them and play Kansas City this week.

    Miami is looking to finish out Joe Philbin's first season at .500—and most likely won't get there. What is likely, in my opinion, is that they cover the spread this week.

    I am taking Miami (+10.5) this week.

Baltimore Ravens at CINCINATTI BENGALS (-4)

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    Job well done by the Bengals to go into Pittsburgh and beat the Steelers on their own turf with so much on the line. It really says something about Andy Dalton and his leadership. 

    Mike Zimmer has done a terrific job with the defense, something the Ravens used to be known for. Now, the Ravens defense is aging and becoming a liability. 

    The Bengals will avenge their Week 1 blowout loss to the Ravens by beating them this week.

    Look out, AFC North. There is a new team in town.

Houston Texans at INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (+4)

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    I am liking the Colts in this one. Chuck Pagano is back with the team. What an inspirational story.

    Higher powers above couldn't have picked a better time for him to come back. It is such a heart-warming story. I like the Colts to play inspired football this week and upset the Texans at home.

    If Christian Ponder can beat the Texans, why can't Andrew Luck?

Jacksonville Jaguars at TENNESSEE TITANS (-4.5)

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    The Jaguars nearly upset the Patriots on Sunday, but I don't see them pulling off the same sort of magic in Tennessee. 

    The Titans need to make up for their embarrassing performance a week ago. Chris Johnson will be playing.

    This game will be a shootout, but in the end, I like Tennessee winning by more than the spread.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (+9) at New York Giants

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    Michael Vick is likely playing his final game as an Eagle. This game is pretty much an audition for his future. He needs to play well. If he doesn't, his future could be in doubt.

    Plenty of teams could use his talents, but they may not want to take the risk if he seems fazed by his age and history of injury.

    I see him playing well and leading the Eagles to a victory in New York to close out a pathetic 2012 campaign.

    Yup, I said it. Eagles will beat the Giants on Sunday.

CHICAGO BEARS (-4) at Detroit Lions

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    Chicago needs to win to keep their playoff hopes alive. If they win and the Vikings lose, the wild-card spot is theirs. 

    Detroit is ice cold right now and pretty much doesn't stand a chance, despite playing at home.

    I am taking the Bears to win by at least four.

Carolina Panthers at NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-4.5)

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    The NFC is lucky that New Orleans is out of contention right now. They are tough to beat. 

    Their defense is improving as well. I like the Saints to win by at least a touchdown on Sunday.

    Although, Carolina did beat the Saints back in Week 2 this year, but that was when the Saints were completely out of sync.

    Cam Newton is hot right now, but not hot enough to take out the Saints. 

Green Bay Packers at MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+3.5)

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    For some crazy reason, I see the Vikings winning this game straight up. 

    Adrian Peterson ran for 212 yards against the Packers on December 3rd at Lambeau Field. If he repeats his performance, the rushing record belongs to him.

    The Vikings need to win to make the playoffs. They are playing at home in a crucial game. 

    It's a risky move, considering how well Green Bay is playing, but I am taking Minnesota to win this game straight up and at least cover the spread.

Kansas City Chiefs at DENVER BRONCOS (-15.5)

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    Peyton Manning will win his 11th straight game as a Bronco. It has been an unfortunate season for the Chiefs in 2012, but at least they will get the No. 1 pick in the draft.

    The Broncos will win 42-13 and seal up a first-round bye. If the Texans lose to the Colts, the AFC will have to go through Denver.

St. Louis Rams at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-10.5)

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    The Seahawks have put up at least a 40-spot in the last three games. Unheard of. They could do it again on Sunday.

    The Rams really don't stand a chance. Their season is pretty much over. Seattle still has a shot at winning the NFC West. They will beat the Rams by at least 11.

Arizona Cardinals at SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-14.5)

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    Not really much to say here. This game is vital if the Niners want to lock up the division. They are going to stomp all over the Cardinals at home. It won't even be close. 

    Moving on...

Dallas Cowboys at WASHINGTON REDSKINS (-5)

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    It all comes down to this. The flex-game for Sunday Night Football. This game will be a battle.

    FedEx Field will be electric. The Redskins haven't been this good since 2007, when Joe Gibbs was coaching them.

    I just don't see any possible way that the 'Skins lose this game.

    They will win by at least 10. Mark my words. If I am wrong, I will eat them.