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NFL Lines: 3 Teams Sure to Fail at Covering Spread in Week 16

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 08:  Shonn Greene #23 of the New York Jets can't make a catch on a play against Tim Dobbins #52 of the Houston Texans at MetLife Stadium on October 8, 2012 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Texans won 23-17. (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
Al Bello/Getty Images
Alex HallCorrespondent IIIDecember 21, 2012

The folks who call the shots in Las Vegas are usually pretty good about setting points spreads for NFL games but not in Week 16.

There are more than a few head-scratching spreads that betting girls and guys should stay away from in the second-to-last week of the regular season. Here are three teams that are sure to fail at covering the spread come Sunday.

 

New York Jets

In case you haven't heard, the Jets are a Big Apple mess right now. The team has already announced plans to cut ties with quarterbacks Tim Tebow and Mark Sanchez at the end of the season. The team has also elected to start 2011 seventh-round pick Greg McElroy at the position this week against San Diego.

It's been a smart move over recent years to lose faith in the San Diego Chargers around this time of year, but making them just one-point favorites this week is too far.

San Diego may only be playing for pride these days, but this is the team that beat Pittsburgh by 10 as recently as Week 14.

The Jets are starting a quarterback who has thrown just seven passes all season. The Chargers are countering with the talented, albeit struggling, Philip Rivers.

Regardless of Rivers' 2012 struggles, he's shown the ability to put up points with his offense. McElroy has not. There's no reason to believe San Diego can't win this game by a touchdown or two—or three.

 

Arizona Cardinals

Arizona takes on Chicago this week where Vegas is expecting the former to come within 5.5 points of the Bears. The same team that lost 58-0 against Seattle in Week 14 is supposed to keep it within a touchdown against Chicago.

The Bears haven't look as dominant as earlier in the season lately and the Cardinals did just blow out Detroit, but let's not kid ourselves. During Arizona's nine-game losing streak, the team came within a touchdown of winning four times.

Recent history shows the Cardinals have about a 50/50 shot of keeping this game close or getting blown out at home in this one. Chicago may have lost three straight games, but it's still playing for its playoff life.

The Bears have got to be charged up for this road game and could unleash all that deadly potential that Jay Cutler, Brandon Marshall & Co. possess on offense. Don't expect the Cardinals to keep this one close.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars

It's a bit bold to say that the Jaguars won't cover a 14.5-point spread but not when the Patriots are going to come out angry.

New England came within a touchdown of tying the NFL's second-biggest comeback of all-time in Week 15 when it fell to San Francisco 41-34. The fact it lost that contest after rallying has got to have the New England crew fuming.

Unfortunately for Jacksonville, that likely means being decimated on its home field in Week 16. Garbage time is the only savior here for those betting the Jags cover here.

Bill Belichick's team is going to come out looking to make a statement which means don't expect the head coach to pull his starters until the very end. The Patriots are dying to run up the score against Jacksonville, and that means the latter won't have the chance to cover.

When the Patriots are angry, it's best to not get too cute and bet their opponent will make up the spread in garbage time. New England is not a team known for taking its foot off the gas when victory is all but ensured.

 

*Note: All spread lines discussed in this article are based on those of Bet Online

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