NFL Odds Week 16: Can't Miss Picks to Cover Spread
It's shaping up to a be strong week for NFL bettors. Week 16 offers a list of favorites that should roll against weaker opponents and cover the spread. A number of these games feature teams playing for their playoff lives or looking to improve their seeding against teams that are playing for draft picks.
If you are looking for favorites to bet on, these teams listed are you best bet. They shouldn't have a problem covering the spread.
All lines used in the article are from Covers.com.
Falcons (-3.5) vs. Lions
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The Atlanta Falcons should have no problem covering this spread, even on the road in Detroit. The Detroit Lions are fading fast, losing their last six games to fall to 4-10 after a decent start to the season. The Lions have proven they can hang with anybody, losing to Green Bay by four and seven points, to Houston by two points and beating Seattle 28-24.
Despite that, they come into Sunday's game on a terrible run of form, having turned the ball over 14 times in their last six games. The Falcons do a great job of capitalizing on mistakes with 18 interceptions this season. Expect them to get a few against Stafford this week.
The Falcons will want this game so they can clinch home-field advantage and cruise into the playoffs. With a strong defensive performance enabling offensive success, the Falcons will cover the spread with ease.
Vikings vs. Texans (-7.5)
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The Texans have the defense to stop Adrian Peterson and that's about all you need to do to be successful against the Vikings. Houston is very strong against the run, giving up just 93.2 rushing yards per game. If the Texans can keep Peterson to around that total, the Vikings will be in serious trouble.
Christian Ponder has struggled mightily in recent weeks and been bailed out by Peterson's frantic sprint towards Eric Dickerson's rushing record. Peterson is getting more yards per carry (6.3) than Ponder is on each passing attempt (5.9). By forcing the ball into Ponder's hands, the Texans have a chance to put up big points.
In addition to a likely strong defensive performance, the Texans offense has been operating smoothly. Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson are freakishly on the same page and Arian Foster has been very consistent for the Texans.
The Vikings just don't have enough firepower to keep up with the Texans in a game they need to hang around the NFC wild card race.
Redskins (-6.5) vs. Eagles
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The likely return of Robert Griffin III will help the Washington Redskins get one step closer to winning their division and making the playoffs. In the process, they will beat the Philadelphia Eagles handily and cover the spread by winning by a touchdown or more.
The return of LeSean McCoy should help the Eagles offensively, but Nick Foles has struggled to show he is ready to lead the offense successfully. In his six games of action, Foles has scored six touchdowns but also turned the ball over six times. He did put up a big yardage total against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 381 yards, but his next highest total is 251.
The Redskins are on a roll, both offensively and defensively. They proved they can win without RGIII, scoring 38 points behind Kirk Cousins.
In the last four weeks, the Redskins have put up 38, 17, 31 and 38 points. Those big numbers should be enough to cover the spread against a fallen Eagles team.
Colts (-7) vs. Chiefs
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The Indianapolis Colts haven't played the most clean football, with Andrew Luck leading the league in turnovers for quarterbacks, but they've gotten the job done.
The Kansas City Chiefs have all but given up this season. Last week, they put together a terrible performance against the Oakland Raiders, getting shut out 15-0, while a week before that, the Chiefs lost 30-7 to the Cleveland Browns.
The Colts have shown a knack for inconsistency in recent weeks, but this is a game where they shouldn't have a problem. The Chiefs' coaching staff has made a number of bizarre decisions, including giving Jamaal Charles just nine carries in Week 15.
Even on the road, the Colts should put up decent numbers and hold the Chiefs offense to few points. The Colts will easily handle the spread against the lowly Chiefs.
Titans vs. Packers (-13.5)
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The Green Bay Packers are rolling towards the playoffs, while the Tennessee Titans are rolling in the opposite direction. In a cold game at Lambeau Field, the Packers shouldn't have any problems blowing out the Titans.
This season, the Packers haven't always dominated in games they should, but they are clicking at the right time. Aaron Rodgers is throwing the ball very well and making athletic plays with his feet to help the offensive line. The run game is improving, while the defense continues to get better and better.
The Titans only chance is to get Chris Johnson going and ride his success while hoping the Packers falter and make mistakes in a "trap-game." If the Packers can even do an average job containing Johnson, they should be in for big games both offensively and defensively.
The Packers will cruise in this one, as they look to get ready for the playoffs. It's the biggest spread of the week, but a blowout is in order so bettors shouldn't be scared away.