NFL Predictions Week 16: Picking Lead-Pipe Locks Against the Spread

Alex Kay@AlexPKayCorrespondent IDecember 21, 2012

SAN DIEGO, CA - DECEMBER 16:  Quarterback Cam Newton #1 of the Carolina Panthers throws a pass against the San Diego Chargers at Qualcomm Stadium on December 16, 2012 in San Diego, California. The Panthers won 31-7.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)
Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

Week 16 of the 2012 NFL season is upon us, and that isn’t the most exciting fact for gamblers.

Since it’s so late in the year, Vegas has a bead on nearly every single team in the league, and finding value in lines is harder than ever before.

However, we’ve managed to scour through them all and identify three stone-cold locks against the spread. Take a look—and good luck betting!

*Point spreads courtesy of, home team in CAPS.


Atlanta Falcons (-4) over DETROIT LIONS

The Falcons undressed the Giants in Week 15, defeating Big Blue 34-0 and proving that they are the NFC team to go through in the playoffs.

Still, Atlanta isn’t getting the respect it deserves from fans or from the linemakers, as they are giving just four points to a lowly Lions squad whose season ended a few weeks back.

Detroit is in the midst of a six-game losing streak and it’s about to reach seven when the Dirty Birds fly into the Motor City and take care of business on Saturday night.


CAROLINA PANTHERS (-8.5) over Oakland Raiders

The Raiders have never traditionally fared well playing on the East Coast in the 1:00 p.m. ET time slot, and it will be no different this time.

Carolina is currently surging and is trying to atone for an awful start by finishing the season with a respectable 7-9 record. QB Cam Newton and his receivers are finally on the same page, while the leaky defense has finally stepped up and made some plays.

Expect Oakland to get absolutely blown out in this one and prove, once again, that they are cursed when it comes to playing an early game across the country.


JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (+14.5) over New England Patriots

It’s never a great idea to back the Jags, but getting over two touchdowns is simply a pure value play.

This team has remained competitive at home in the Chad Henne era, winning against the Titans in Week 12 and losing to the Jets by 7 in Week 14. Obviously, the Pats are a much tougher opponent than either of those two teams, but we aren’t predicting a lopsided win for Bill Belichick’s boys.

It will be a closer contest than many imagine and New England will win by two TDs or less. Get this line while it’s above 14.