Week 16 NFL Picks: Stone Cold Locks Against the Spread

Alex Kay@AlexPKayCorrespondent IDecember 19, 2012

CLEVELAND, OH - DECEMBER 16:  Head coach Mike Shanahan of the Washington Redskins watches his team against the Cleveland Browns at Cleveland Browns Stadium on December 16, 2012 in Cleveland, Ohio.  (Photo by Matt Sullivan/Getty Images)
Matt Sullivan/Getty Images

With two weeks left in the NFL season, gamblers need to work harder than ever to find valuable lines and make smart plays against the spread.

Fortunately, we’ve been able to identify a handful of action that looks juicy—and potentially profitable—in Week 16.

Let’s take a look at these upcoming contests, which you should place a wager down early on, before the public moves the lines too far from your favor.


Washington Redskins (-4.5) at PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Even without Robert Griffin III, this line is a steal. Should the superstar rookie QB return to action this week, it becomes even more valuable and is certainly worth a risk at this juncture.

Fellow rook Kirk Cousins proved that he’s capable of managing a game and helped the ‘Skins jump up to first place in the NFC East after taking care of business vs. Cleveland.

Regardless of who starts under center in this matchup, they should have no problem taking care of an undermanned Eagles squad—a team blown out by the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 15.

Washington has too much riding on the outcome of this contest to drop an easy one against a lowly divisional foe and wins by a large margin.


BALTIMORE RAVENS (+2) over New York Giants

Many are sleeping on the Ravens, who lost last week to the surging Denver Broncos. However, now isn’t the time to wager against the AFC North leader, especially against the fast-fading G-Men.

Baltimore has to halt its three-game skid in order to lock up the divisional crown, while the Giants are also playing to keep their suddenly slim chances to defend their Super Bowl title alive.

We’re giving the edge to the Ravens, who have a second week under new offensive coordinator Jim Caldwell and should look much more organized on that end of the field.

Remember, the Atlanta Falcons just shut out Big Blue and engineered a strategy to thoroughly defeat the Giants, so expect Baltimore to follow suit and execute with their standard defensive prowess.


Chicago Bears (-6) at ARIZONA CARDINALS

Chicago gave up any hope of winning the NFC North by losing to Green Bay last Sunday, but it has a chance to remain in contention for a wild card spot by knocking out the atrocious Cardinals this weekend.

While Arizona picked up a much-needed victory against a head-scratchingly bad Detroit Lions squad in Week 15, they aren’t a stable unit and do not have the QB play to pull out another win as an underdog.

Lay the points and watch the Bears roll to at least a seven-point victory, with the potential for the outcome to get much, much uglier.