While overlooking an inferior opponent is the quickest way to be upset, the Florida State Seminoles can afford to overlook the Northern Illinois Huskies because they are the superior team.
The Huskies had the best season in school history and deserve to be praised for winning the MAC. That being said, they just don't have the talent or resources to compete with a program like FSU.
The Seminoles will have multiple players selected in this April's NFL draft, which is something that the Huskies cannot match.
The only chance that Northern Illinois has is to keep it close in hopes that they can find a way to steal the game late in the fourth quarter.
That plan will not work, as this Seminoles team is loaded with seniors that want to end their careers with a significant victory.
This is the first time that FSU is playing in a BCS bowl since Jan. 3rd, 2006, when the Seminoles fell to Penn State 26-23 in the Orange Bowl.
The players on FSU's roster know how important this game is, which is why I don't think they will suffer an upset that would be compared to Alabama's Sugar Bowl loss in 2009 and Oklahoma's Fiesta Bowl loss in 2007.
The Seminoles Defense Will Limit Jordan Lynch's Running Opportunities
Most of the hype that has surrounded the Huskies is a result of quarterback Jordan Lynch's success, as he compiled 4,463 yards and scored 43 touchdowns during the regular season.
Almost half of Lynch's yards and touchdowns came on the ground, as his numbers suggest that he was the most dynamic two-way quarterback in the country.
The Seminoles defense is among the most athletic in the country, which will cause problems that Lynch won't be ready to handle.
Even without Tank Carradine at defensive end, the Seminoles still have an extremely athletic front seven. Bjoern Werner and Christian Jones are both be impact players and will be drafted highly when they decide to turn pro.
Defensive tackles Anthony McCloud and Everett Dawkins will maintain their assignments to limit Lynch's rushing opportunities while also keeping the Huskies offensive linemen off the linebackers behind them.
Even when Lynch is able to escape containment, the Seminoles will fly to the ball at mach speed and will greet him with a big hit whenever possible.
The Huskies have never faced a team that is near FSU's caliber, and it will take them time to adjust to playing a team that is as fast and efficient as the Seminoles will be.
Jimbo Fisher Has the Seminoles Focused on This Game
Fisher handled the 2013 Orange Bowl press conference like a pro, which cannot be said about a couple of his other pressers earlier in the season.
In the interview, Fisher tactfully explains how happy FSU is to be back in a BCS bowl game, especially the Orange Bowl.
Although Seminole fans dreamed of reaching the BCS National Championship Game before the season, Fisher is actively trying to convince his fanbase that this season has been a success.
To Fisher, the Orange Bowl is a game that has a rich tradition that will be watched by millions of people and all the important recruits, as it takes place at 8 p.m. EST on Jan. 1st, 2013.
Student-athletes follow their coach's direction, which bodes well for FSU because Fisher appears to be focused on a must-win game for his program.
The Seminoles have failed to live up to their preseason ranking in each of the past two seasons and cannot afford to be embarrassed by a team from the MAC.
As long as FSU comes out of the tunnel focused, they will dominate the Huskies in every facet of the game.
The Huskies Will Be Coached by Rod Carey After Dave Doeren's Departure
For David to slay Goliath, everything must go exactly right for the underdog, while the heavy favorite must be limited in some way.
Things haven't gone smoothly for the Huskies since their last game, as Dave Doeren took the head coaching position at NC State and will not be coaching the team in the Orange Bowl.
Offensive coordinator Rod Carey has been promoted to head coach, but he is unproven in that role.
The Seminoles lost their defensive coordinator after the ACC Championship Game, as Mark Stoops was tabbed as the next head coach at Kentucky.
While the loss of Stoops may affect FSU's preparation slightly, the Huskies will miss Doeren far more. There is a reason that NC State hired Doeren, as he is a bright young coach that led the Huskies to back-to-back MAC championships.
The Huskies cannot afford to be out-coached, as the talent advantage clearly lies with the Seminoles.