Odds Calvin Johnson Will Break Each Remaining NFL Receiving Record

Thomas Galicia@thomasgaliciaContributor IIDecember 17, 2012

GLENDALE, AZ - DECEMBER 16:  Wide receiver Calvin Johnson #81 of the Detroit Lions reacts as he walks off the field following the NFL game against the Arizona Cardinals at the University of Phoenix Stadium on December 16, 2012 in Glendale, Arizona. The Cardinals defeated the Lions 38-10.  (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)
Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Calvin Johnson has been the NFL's best wide receiver of the last two years, as seen against Arizona when he became the first wide receiver to post consecutive seasons of 1,600 yards, then tied an NFL record with his seventh consecutive game where he gained 100 receiving yards by gaining 121 yards on 10 catches. 

Johnson is now 182 yards away from breaking Jerry Rice's single-season record of 1,848 receiving yards in one season.

What other receiving records could Johnson wind up breaking when everything is all said and done? What are the odds that he does break them?

Let's take a look.


Most Yards in a Single Season: Even Odds

As mentioned earlier, Johnson only needs 182 yards to break Jerry Rice's single-season yardage record. He does have two games to do it, and he will only have to average 91 yards per game. Considering that Johnson has averaged 119 yards receiving per game, I'm willing to go out on a limb and say that Johnson sets the mark.


Career Receiving Yards: 100/1

Johnson already has 7,539 receiving yards in his seven-year career, which is a good 15,356 yards behind current record holder Jerry Rice, who's at 22,895. In order to tie Rice, Johnson will have to continue his average of 1,077 yards for the next 14.2 years.

I'm going to go out on another limb and say that Johnson likely won't do this; however, if he did, it wouldn't be a surprise to me. On top of that, the real number to use would be 1,489 yards per season, which has been Johnson's average the last three seasons.

To break Rice's record, Johnson will have to average that for the next 10 seasons.

This record is pretty safe.


Career Receptions: 50/1

Currently Johnson has 472 catches in his seven-season career, which is 1,077 catches away from Jerry Rice's record of 1,549 catches. This one I could see him breaking a bit easier than the yardage record since Johnson's number of catches is more likely to stay consistent than how many yards he gets.

To break the record, he will have to continue his average from the last three years of 93 catches per season for the next 11.5 seasons.


Career Touchdowns: 75/1

This one is a tough one, as Johnson is 143 touchdowns away from Rice's 197 touchdowns, and this season he has had problems getting into the end zone. In order to break the record, he will have to average 14 touchdowns per year for the next 10 years. It's possible, but the Lions have to do a better job of getting him into the end zone.

By the time Johnson's career is over, he will likely be looked at as the best receiver of his era. But what are the chances he becomes the best receiver of all time? He will have to break one of those records to enter into the conversation.