NFL Picks Week 15: Road Favorites That Will Easily Cover Spread
There are a lot of even matchups around the NFL in Week 15. No team is favored by double digits, and plenty of games feature spreads within a field goal. It's just another sign of the increased parity around the league.
In terms of picking games, the low spreads are helpful because it makes the path to covering that much easier for teams you feel strongly about. For example, it's setting up to be a good weekend for road favorites.
With that in mind, let's take a look at three visiting teams that face spreads of less than a touchdown that should be able to cruise to victory in Week 15.
Denver Broncos (-2.5)
Peyton Manning has thrown 17 touchdown passes and compiled a 103.8 QB rating in eight regular season games against the Baltimore Ravens. When you consider the level of defenses he's faced over that span, those are amazing numbers.
As Manning leads the Broncos into battle with the Ravens this week, both teams still have their sights set on a first-round bye. Aside from having No. 18 under center, Denver also has momentum on its side thanks to eight straight wins. Baltimore has lost two straight.
The biggest problem facing the Ravens is they have tried in the past to slow down the game to keep Manning off the field, but he still finds a way to burn them. They certainly aren't prepared for a shootout. Manning is just a bad matchup for them, and he will lead Denver to a big win.
Which road favorite is the best pick?
Seattle Seahawks (-5.5)
The Seahawks will take on the Buffalo Bills, but the game is taking place in Toronto, Canada. That helps Seattle because it takes any potential weather problems out of the equation since the game will be played in a dome.
In reality, the main reason Seattle is a smart pick here isn't the weather or any other secondary issue. The Seahawks are just a much better team. They are coming off a 58-0 victory over the Arizona Cardinals, an impressive feat regardless of Arizona's issues.
On the flip side, the Bills' best win came against the Miami Dolphins. Yes, that's their best win. The Seahawks should be able to control the game from the outset, led by former Bill Marshawn Lynch, en route to a two-touchdown victory.
Detroit Lions (-6)
Even though the Lions and Arizona Cardinals have the same record (4-9), the talent level is far from equal. Detroit has a high-powered offense thanks to Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson that Arizona has no chance of matching.
The Cardinals offense is terrible. It makes you feel bad for Larry Fitzgerald, who would be putting up monster numbers with just about any other team in the league. Instead, he's stuck catching passes from Ryan Lindley and John Skelton.
Detroit's biggest problem has been in the secondary, but that shouldn't be an issue this week given Arizona's woes on offense. Expect the Lions to release some of their season-long frustrations on Sunday, leading to a rout of the Cardinals.
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