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Ranking the NFL's 5 Luckiest and Unluckiest Teams

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Ranking the NFL's 5 Luckiest and Unluckiest Teams
Andy Lyons/Getty Images

Luck (and not just the quarterback pictured above) plays a huge part in determining how an NFL season plays out. It's just common sense: Some teams get breaks that others don't.

What defines luck in the NFL? There are several telling statistics.

For example, statistically close games are essentially random. When a team wins an inordinate amount of close games in a given year, they generally regress to the mean the following year.

The same can be said for turnovers, particularly fumble recoveries. Once a fumble hits the ground, recovering it is essentially a 50/50 proposition.

We also have to look at schedules, opponent injuries, circumstantial wins and point differential, but more on that later.

For the purposes of objectivity, we are going to ignore injuries to the specific teams, as there are too many circumstances surrounding them to accurately assess their detrimental value.

With that in mind, here are the five luckiest and unluckiest teams of the 2012 season. 

By the way, a big thanks to teamrankings.com for providing the fumble stats. Those were very hard to find. 

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