Unlike last year, the 2013 NFL draft class doesn't have any franchise quarterbacks around whom struggling teams can build an immediate playoff contender.
There are no players who can be expected to make the same kind of impact that Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III and Russell Wilson have made on their teams this season.
Geno Smith of West Virginia and Matt Barkley of USC are the two best quarterbacks available, but don't expect these players to shine as rookies. Tyler Wilson might go in the first round, but he's not someone who can be expected to start at the NFL level as a rookie.
Should the team with the No. 1 pick draft Geno Smith?
This is bad news for several teams with poor records that desperately need an upgrade at quarterback to compete for a playoff spot and turn around their organizations.
The Kansas City Chiefs (2-11), Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11) and Arizona Cardinals (4-9) are the three teams most in need of a franchise quarterback.
Kansas City was a playoff team two years ago and still has a lot of good, young talent on offense and defense, but the lack of a top-tier quarterback is really holding the franchise back. With a better quarterback, the Chiefs could certainly contend for a wild-card playoff berth in the AFC.
The Cardinals are in a similar situation. They have an improving defense that is already good against the pass, as well as a top receiver in Larry Fitzgerald and a few quality running backs.
A few upgrades to the offensive line and a better quarterback would make Arizona a contender for a wild-card spot in the NFC. Since it's unlikely that the Cardinals will get the top pick, they should not choose a quarterback in this year's draft and instead look to free agency for an upgrade.
The Jaguars have Chad Henne and former first-round pick Blaine Gabbert at quarterback, but neither player is someone the Jags can build a winning team around.
Jacksonville really needs a lot of help on defense, especially on the defensive line, so expect them to address that area of weakness before taking a quarterback in April.
These teams need a quarterback, but there aren't any players with superstar potential at this position in this class. Smith may become a good NFL quarterback, but he's not anywhere close to Griffin's or Luck's level.
At the 2013 NFL draft, we could see a defensive player taken No. 1 overall for the first time since 2006 when the Houston Texans selected defensive end Mario Williams. Using a top-five pick to draft a quarterback is too much of a risk in this year's class.
Here is my projected draft order for the top 10 picks based on current records and expected finish.
1. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-11)
2. Kansas City Chiefs (2-11)
3. Oakland Raiders (3-10)
4. Tennessee Titans (4-9)
5. Arizona Cardinals (4-9)
6. Carolina Panthers (4-9)
7. Philadelphia Eagles (4-9)
8. Detroit Lions (4-9)
9. Buffalo Bills (5-8)
10. Miami Dolphins (5-8)