Playing on the road in the NFL isn't always the daunting task it's often made out to be. When you look at records around the league, only a few teams have a large disparity between there home and road marks, namely the Seattle Seahawks and Minnesota Vikings.
Otherwise, good teams have proven they can win anywhere, and bad teams have proven that playing at home doesn't usually give them any type of momentum boost. That's why picking teams getting a lot of points on the road is usually a wise option.
With that in mind, let's take a look at some road teams getting points this weekend that should end up covering the spread. All lines courtesy SportsBetting.ag.
Indianapolis Colts (+9)
As the Colts prepare for their first of two matchups with the Houston Texans over the final three weeks, they still have a chance to win the AFC South. Few people, even diehards in Indianapolis, would have predicted that before the season began.
The Colts have only won a single game by more than one score. While that may be perceived as a negative, it actually helps a young team understand how to step up in key moments. They are battle-tested, and that will help them on Sunday.
Houston is coming off a blowout loss to the New England Patriots, similar to the one the Colts suffered about a month ago. The two teams are more evenly matched than the spread would suggest. Indianapolis should keep it within a touchdown at the very least.
Jacksonville Jaguars (+7)
The Jaguars' record reads 2-11. They have three overtime losses and were locked in a one-score battle with the New York Jets last week before falling short, though. So they are a couple breaks away from being 6-7. Still mediocre, but not downright terrible.
Their opponent this week, the Miami Dolphins, have lost five of their last six games. The only win during that span came at home against the Seahawks, one of the teams where playing on the road actually has a noticeable impact.
In reality, neither of these teams are very good and have multiple holes to fill before getting back in the playoff conversation. This seems more like a toss-up game given both teams' struggles, and it wouldn't be a surprise if Jacksonville won outright.
Which of these underdogs has the best chance of an upset?
San Francisco 49ers (+6)
San Francisco hasn't given up more than 26 points in any game this season. The New England Patriots are averaging more than 36 points per game. Something will have to give when the Super Bowl hopefuls face off on Sunday night.
The main reason the 49ers should be able to keep it close isn't their dominant defense, however. It's their offense. Between Frank Gore and dual-threat quarterback Colin Kaepernick, they should be able to control the pace and keep Tom Brady on the sidelines.
Jim Harbaugh watched what happened to the Texans on Monday night. He knows his team can't afford to fall behind early, either. Expect an inspired effort from the 49ers, leading to a game that gets decided by a late field goal instead of before halftime.