The 2012 rookie quarterback class definitely has the potentially to be one of the all-time best. We’ve seen everything from the surprising rise to success of Russell Wilson to the not-so-surprising successes of Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III. Even guys like Ryan Tannehill and Brandon Weeden have had their times to shine this year.
While some of these guys are well on their way to making a playoff push, others have struggled to win games this season. Luck and RG3 have certainly proved that they were worth being drafted first and second overall this past April, while fellow first-rounders Tannehill and Weeden have had an up-and-down (mostly down) year.
Wilson, on the other hand, has been in the middle of the pack for the most part. He has had huge games where he has shown the world why he was so effective in college, but he has also had games where he looks like the third-round pick that he is.
One thing that each of these passers have in common is that they all have promise. Granted, some have shown more promise than others, but each player has shown the ability to maintain his composure in big games and deliver for his respective team.
Luck, RG3 and Russell Wilson have the best opportunities to make the playoffs this year, but I highly doubt that any of them will win the “big game.” These guys have the stats, they have the wins, they have the ability, but the question that remains is which one of these passers will be the first to win a Super Bowl?
Right now, Luck and the Indianapolis Colts have the best record of the trio (9-4), but Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks aren’t far behind at 8-5. The Washington Redskins have a 7-6 record behind Griffin III and are a long shot to reach the playoffs this year, but they are definitely building towards being contenders sometime soon. Luck and RG3 may be better passers than Russell Wilson overall, but I see Wilson getting a ring before any of these quarterbacks.
Who do you think will be first to win the Super Bowl?
Yes, you read that correctly, I believe that Russell Wilson will be the first of these quarterbacks to win a Super Bowl.
Wilson may not have the sprinter speed RG3 does or the arm strength of Andrew Luck, but he does have a unique skill set. He has the ability to run like Griffin III, albeit not as effectively, but let’s face it—not many players at any position can run like RG3. He has also shown the ability to throw the ball downfield, as he demonstrated on the infamous Golden Tate “touch-ception” play against the Green Bay Packers.
When I say that I think Wilson will be the first to win a Super Bowl out of all these guys, it is not so much because of his ability as an individual as much as it is about the team he is on. It is clear that Wilson is not the best quarterback from this year’s class, but he is probably on the best team overall.
With arguably the league's best defense and a wild running game behind Marshawn Lynch, Wilson is in the best situation out of all these passers. Yes, I am aware that the Colts have a better record, but there is some discrepancy between the two teams’ schedules.
The Colts’ schedule only has only had them play four teams with winning records, while the Seahawks' schedule has pitted them against six teams with winning records. That may not seem like a huge gap, but in looking at the teams that both Seattle and Indy have played, Seattle has the advantage.
The ‘Hawks have beaten the Patriots, Bears and Jets, while the Colts have lost to those teams by a combined score of 136-54. The Colts have beaten only two teams that Seattle has lost to (Dolphins, Lions) by a combined score of 58-53.
The bottom line is this: Right now, the Seahawks are the most talented team with a rookie quarterback. Their defense and running game are some of the best in the league, and Russell Wilson has the ability and potential to take them to the promised land.