This one is obvious. Anyone could tell you that if the front seven dominates then the Patriots will probably win.
In that case, the question becomes "how?" And the answer to that is not as obvious.
Essentially, the front seven will have three incredibly important and difficult jobs on Monday: containing Arian Foster, getting pressure on Matt Schaub and defending Owen Daniels at tight end.
Doing all three of those jobs well is no small task. The Texans have a great offensive line to protect Schaub and arguably the best running back in the league. So the Patriots need to take this one step at a time.
On passing downs, they need to send blitzes. They have been sending Brandon Spikes lately and that has been working. And, with Chandler Jones likely coming back, the pass rush will be even more effective.
Even when they are blitzing, they still need to bump Daniels off the line and pick him up with a linebacker, preferably Mayo.
In doing all that, the Patriots will get pressure and be able to shut down Owen Daniels. However, that still leaves Arian Foster.
Containing him isn't as clear cut scheme-wise. The Patriots just need to play smart football. It is absolutely imperative that they set the edge on defense. If Foster gets to the outside, he will make something happen. Chandler Jones and Rob Ninkovich need to force him inside where Spikes and Mayo can clean up the mess.
Bottom line: if the Patriots can keep Foster under 100 yards rushing, get consistent pressure on Schaub and account for Daniels at all times, then the Texans won't be scoring many points.It won't be easy, but with the right scheme and the Patriots' personnel, they are absolutely capable.