Pacquiao vs Marquez 4 Odds: What Gamblers Should Know from Previous Fights

Rick WeinerFeatured ColumnistDecember 6, 2012

BEVERLY HILLS, CA - SEPTEMBER 17:  (L-R) Manny Pacquiao and Juan Manuel Marquez stand onstage to face the media cameras during the Manny Pacquiao v Juan Manuel Marquez - Press Conference at Beverly Hills Hotel on September 17, 2012 in Beverly Hills, California.  (Photo by Victor Decolongon/Getty Images)
Victor Decolongon/Getty Images

Gamblers and boxing fans will have their eyes firmly entrenched on the ring at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas on Saturday night when Manny Pacquiao and Juan Manuel Marquez face off in the fourth edition of their epic rivalry.

Rather than blindly plopping your money down on random props and hoping that the wagers placed pay out at the end of the night, there's plenty of boxing history between the two to pull from––and learn from––allowing educated wagers to be placed.

Let's embark on a quick refresher course in the history of Pacquiao vs. Marquez.


These Guys Love to Go the Distance

Each of their three previous bouts have gone the distance—36 rounds, to be exact.

While both fighters are intent on knocking the other one out, and ending the bout well before Round 12 comes to an end, there's little reason to believe that this one is going to end any differently than the previous three.

At the end of Round 12. has the over/under at 10.5 rounds. Take the over.


Don't Expect a Knockout

The last time Manny Pacquiao was knocked out was in 1999, when Medgoen Singsurat beat Pac-Man for the lineal flyweight title and handed him the second loss of his career.

Juan Manuel Marquez has never been knocked out in any of his previous 61 professional bouts.

Pacquiao dropped Marquez three times in their first fight and once again in the second, but Marquez got back up and fought back.

According to, it's even money to bank on Pac-Man winning in a decision, plus-225 for him winning via KO, TKO or DQ.

For Marquez, it's plus-325 for a win by decision, plus-850 for a win via KO, TKO or DQ.

It all comes down to who you personally like to win it all, but banking on a knockout in this one is risky business.


Punch History in Each Fight

Some people like to get crazy and put money on punch-related props.

Here's how the CompuBox Punchstats looked for each of their previous three bouts, courtesy of

Pacquiao vs. Marquez I
Total Punches Pacquiao Marquez
Landed 148 158
Thrown 639 547
Percent 23 29
Power Punches    
Landed 100 122
Thrown 231 339
Percent 43 36
Pacquiao vs. Marquez II
Total Punches Pacquiao Marquez
Landed 157 172
Thrown 619 511
Percent 25 34
Landed 43 42
Thrown 314 201
Percent 14 21
Power Punches    
Landed 114 130
Thrown 305 310
Percent 37 42
Pacquiao vs. Marquez III
Total Punches Pacquiao Marquez
Landed 138 176
Thrown 436 578
Percent 32 30
Landed 38 59
Thrown 182 304
Percent 21 19
Power Punches    
Landed 100 117
Thrown 254 274
Percent 39 43