NFL Playoffs Scenarios: Analyzing the Remaining Playoff Possibilities

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NFL Playoffs Scenarios: Analyzing the Remaining Playoff Possibilities
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

About three weeks ago it seemed like 10 of the 12 seeds in the NFL playoff picture were locked up. Now it feels like there's an endless amount of possibilities for numerous teams to sneak into the postseason.

We're about to take a division-by-division look to see what teams are still alive, the odds of making into the playoffs and each team's remaining schedule.

In order to qualify for being considered "alive," a team must have a chance to finish at least 9-7—no 8-8 team is making the playoffs this year—which eliminated Detroit, Arizona, Carolina, Philadelphia, Cleveland, San Diego, Tennessee, Oakland, Jacksonville and Kansas City.

After that is cut down, teams with an opportunity at 9-7 but less than a three-percent chance of making the playoffs were also left off the list—apologies to St. Louis, New Orleans, Buffalo, the Jets and Miami.


All playoff percentages are taken from Football Outsiders' Playoff Odds, which is created after the remaining season is simulated 50,000 times.

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