NFL Odds Week 14: Spreads You Should Bet Against
There are several matchups in Week 14 of the 2012 NFL campaign that appear to be miscalculated by the odds books.
Whether it is two low-scoring teams pitted against each other or a team getting too much credit (or too little), some of the betting lines this week look like a football thrown by an Arizona Cardinals quarterback (wobbly and questionable).
Here's a look at the spreads in Week 14 that I would bet against.
Note: All odds via BetOnline.ag
Buffalo Bills (-3) vs. St. Louis Rams
I actually have the Rams winning this game.
Buffalo has one of the worst run defenses in the league, and the Rams have a much better chance of winning ball games when Steven Jackson is productive.
Plus, given what St. Louis did to Frank Gore and the 49ers last week, it's not out of the question that the Rams limit the Bills' rushing attack like the Miami Dolphins did in Week 11.
San Francisco 49ers (-10) vs. Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins may be 5-7 this season, but they can stop the run (which should prove beneficial against a 49ers squad that loves to run the pigskin) and they have played well the past two weeks, beating the Seattle Seahawks and losing by seven points to the New England Patriots.
The Miami offense is still hard to watch, but I don't think the Dolphins are going to give up a whole lot of points to the 49ers, either. Especially considering the 49ers lost to the Rams in overtime last week, 16-13.
San Francisco should win, but not by 10 points or more.
Seattle Seahawks (-10) vs. Arizona Cardinals
Given the Cardinals have lost eight straight games and are averaging an NFL-worst 15.5 points per game, I certainly don't see them winning this matchup in Seattle.
But the Seahawks aren't exactly an offensive powerhouse themselves (20.2 points per game), which is one of the reasons they lost to the Dolphins in Week 12.
Seattle is a good team and should beat the Cardinals, but the offense isn't explosive enough, in my opinion, to win by 10 points or more.
Cleveland Browns (-6.5) vs. Kansas City Chiefs
If the Browns win, they likely won't win by more than two field goals. Heck, they could even lose this game.
The Chiefs are 2-10 this season, but they just tied their highest offensive output of the season last week in the 27-21 victory over the Carolina Panthers.
Cleveland's run defense is middle-of-the-road, and the Chiefs love to run the ball (understandably given the current quarterback situation).
Plus, the Browns beat the Oakland Raiders by just three points last week, scoring a measly 20 points against the league's worst defense.
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