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Andrew Luck and Robert Griffin III entered the league with huge expectations and giant spotlights, and both have lived up to, and actually surpassed, those expectations.
They would appear to be running away with the Rookie of the Year race.
Not so fast. The Seahawks Russell Wilson has scampered his way into the discussion.
Wilson was amazing while leading the Seahawks to an overtime victory over the Bears in Chicago this past week, and it is just the latest step in his development.
Wilson has been brought along slower than his two counterparts, and he has certainly benefited from a strong run game and an excellent defense. However, he has rapidly morphed into the centerpiece of the offense.
There is no better argument for Wilson's inclusion in this race than the one offered up by ESPN's Mike Sando.
Sando points out that Wilson and Luck have played seven common opponents: Chicago, Minnesota, Green Bay, Miami, New England, Detroit and the New York Jets.
Wilson's stats against these teams are far sexier than Luck's, as Sando points out:
Wilson has 16 touchdown passes with only one pick against these teams. He has a 115.6 NFL passer rating and 81.6 Total QBR score against them. Luck has 13 touchdowns, 12 interceptions and a 74.9 passer rating against them. His QBR score (68.2) is stronger than his traditional stats might indicate, a theme for Luck all season, not just in these games.
What a measuring stick this is! Now there are many factors at play here, like the previously mentioned strong run game and defense for Wilson, but you can't ignore those numbers.
Nor can you ignore the fact, as Sando also points out, Wilson leads the NFL in QBR since Week 6.
Wilson is getting better each week, and his team is right in the thick of the playoff race. If he keeps improving like this and coming up with games like the one he turned in against Chicago, it is conceivable he could steal this award.