Week 14 NFL Picks: Teams Who Will Have Little Trouble Covering Spread

Pete SchauerCorrespondent IDecember 5, 2012

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 25:  Quarterback Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers drops back to pass against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium on November 25, 2012 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
Al Bello/Getty Images

With so many underdogs coming up big in Week 13 of the NFL season, the thought of going against a big spread or picking the favorite is enough to make your hand shake as you make your selection.

This weekend again has some large spreads, including the Denver Broncos (-10) over the Oakland Raiders and the San Francisco 49ers (-10) against the Miami Dolphins.

Those are two games I would stay away from in Week 14, but here are three games where the favorite shouldn't have much trouble covering the spread on Sunday.

*All spreads via Bet Online


Atlanta Falcons (-3.5) over Carolina Panthers

The Falcons are coming off a 10-point division win against the New Orleans Saints and get an even worse Carolina Panthers team in Week 14.

Of course I like the Falcons.

Atlanta will be on the road but is 3-1 in division games and has a top passing offense in the NFL and a solid running game with Michael Turner getting back on track against the Saints.

Carolina's defense ranks No. 25 against the rush and its offense has been extremely inconsistent all season long, led by Cam Newton.

Although Carolina's offense has looked better of late, they're just 1-5 at home and will face a far more superior Falcons team that already beat them once this season.

While Week 4's game was extremely close, you can expect a different outcome in Week 14, with Atlanta covering the spread.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7.5) over Philadelphia Eagles

Even after dropping two straight, I like the odds of the Bucs handling the Eagles by at least eight points on Sunday afternoon.

Besides the fact that Philadelphia has lost eight in a row, the Eagles have a habit of turning the football over, which spells trouble against an offense like Tampa Bay's.

Philadelphia's defense—which has been pretty poor this season—will have its hands full against the likes of Josh Freeman, Vincent Jackson and Doug Martin, as both the passing and rushing game rank No. 12 and 11 in the NFL, respectably.

On defense, the Buccaneers sport the worst-ranked pass defense but are No. 1 against the rush. With Nick Foles being as inexperienced as he is, Tampa won't have to worry about being hurt through the air and can focus more of its attention on stopping Bryce Brown and LeSean McCoy (if he plays).

The Eagles put up a good fight against the Dallas Cowboys, but against a more potent offense in the Bucs, I don't think they stand a chance.

Green Bay Packers (-6.5) over Detroit Lions

After turning in a dismal game against the New York Giants two weeks ago, the Green Bay Packers took down the Minnesota Vikings rather easily. In another division game in Week 14, I think the Pack will have the same success.

The Detroit Lions just had their hearts ripped out by Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts and now have to go to Lambeau and face Aaron Rodgers and the Packers' volatile passing offense.

With Greg Jennings back on the field, Rodgers has another weapon at his disposal to shred opposing defenses, which is just what he'll do to the 18th-ranked Lions' pass defense on Sunday Night Football.

Green Bay only defeated Detroit by four points when these two teams met back in Week 11, but with the Lions having lost four in a row and being deflated by the Colts, the Packers are looking like a great option to cover the seven points.


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