Before we start overthinking Week 14's NFL matchups, let's identify some winners that don't require a lot of deep thought.
Any extracurricular brain activity on these will only mess up the thought process. So with that, here are three locks for the upcoming week.
Denver Broncos vs. Oakland Raiders
It's always risky picking a road team as a lock, but in this case, let's not let that fact stop us. Over the last five weeks, the Raiders have been the worst team in football, and I say this being a lifelong Raiders fan.
Over that five-game stretch, the Raiders have allowed an average of 37.8 points per game. That defense rebounded a bit last week as Oakland allowed 20 points to the Browns, but Cleveland's offense is terrible, and that 20 is above its season average.
So, this defense is playing far worse than when the Broncos destroyed Oakland 37-6 in Week 4, and the Broncos' offense has only been getting better since then.
Denver will be able to do whatever it wants in this one, and the Broncos will cruise to an easy victory.
Prediction: Broncos 38, Raiders 17
Arizona Cardinals vs. Seattle Seahawks
Yes, the Seahawks have some serious suspensions looming over their starting cornerbacks, but for this game, who cares?
The Cardinals' passing offense is bad and getting worse. In two of their last three games, the Cardinals have had 56 passing yards or less.
The Cardinals are not going to be able to move the ball in this game.
Also, considering that the Cardinals are 24th in rushing yards allowed and since Marshawn Lynch and the Seahawks are seventh in rushing yards, they will be able to control the ball and put up more than enough points.
Let us not also forget that the Seahawks at home are always a good bet.
Prediction: Seahawks 20, Cardinals 6
Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers
The Lions have lost four straight, and that includes a 24-20 loss to the Packers at home.
With the 4-8 Lions essentially just playing out the string now and the 8-4 Packers battling for playoff positioning, there is no reason to think this one will be closer.
The Lions carry the league's highest-rated passing attack, and the Packers have the league's 17th-ranked pass defense. So, the Lions should be able to do some damage through the air.
However, let's not get totally carried away with that.
The Packers are ninth in yards allowed per pass, and Detroit is only 15th in yards per pass.
And if the Lions aren't going to light up the Packers with the pass they have no hope. So, the Lions have no hope.
Prediction: Packers 31, Lions 20
More Week 14 Picks
*Home team is listed second, and predicted winner is denoted in bold.
St. Louis Rams vs. Buffalo Bills
Dallas Cowboys vs. Cincinnati Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cleveland Browns
Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts
Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings
San Diego Chargers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baltimore Ravens vs. Washington Redskins
Atlanta Falcons vs. Carolina Panthers
New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Miami Dolphins vs. San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans Saints vs. New York Giants
Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots