The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have made it to the 2013 BCS championship, but certainly aren’t favored to do much in the big game.
According to BetOnline.com, the Irish are a nine-point underdog to the Alabama Crimson Tide—a one-loss SEC program looking to defend their title and repeat as champs.
For those of you who like to wager on games, it’s definitely worth it to take the points with the Irish. They are almost a lock to win against the spread at this current number, and could become even more valuable if they move up to a double-digit ‘dog.
Both of the national title participants have dominant defenses, with the Irish giving up just 10.3 per game and the Tide right there with them, allowing just 10.7. This is obviously going to lead to a low-scoring affair that highly favors the big underdog.
While the hype up to the game is going to be massive, the point scoring certainly isn’t going to get out of hand. This is going to be a drawn-out affair between two coaches that are content with running the ball (‘Bama averages 5.6 yards per carry, ND generates 5.0) and punting in order to make plays, and get stops, with their defense.
Neither team has been exceptional against the spread in the 2012 season, with Notre Dame finishing with a winning 7-5 record, while the Crimson Tide rolled to a 6-7 ATS finish. Both these programs were more reliable on the road—the Irish were 4-1 ATS away from South Bend, while Alabama finished 3-2 outside out of Bryant-Denny Stadium—and this Miami-based game takes place in neutral territory.
Which team will cover?
If you’re going to make an early bet on the 2013 national title game, it’s clearly wise to lean toward the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Keep in mind that the game will not take place until January 7, and much could change in the month-plus of time leading up to the contest.
Right now, the Irish are the play, and it wouldn’t be a bad idea to get an early wager down at your book.