Jaguars vs. Bills: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

Josh Schoch@JoshSchochAnalyst IIINovember 30, 2012

INDIANAPOLIS, IN - NOVEMBER 25: Ryan Fitzpatrick #14 of the Buffalo Bills calls a play at the line against the Indianapolis Colts during the game at Lucas Oil Stadium on November 25, 2012 in Indianapolis, Indiana. The Colts won 20-13. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)
Joe Robbins/Getty Images

The Jacksonville Jaguars will travel to New York in Week 13 of the NFL season to take on the Buffalo Bills in a matchup between two bottom feeders in the AFC.

Jacksonville's season has been pitiful, going 2-9, while the Bills' playoff hopes were dashed last week at the hands of Andrew Luck's Indianapolis Colts, as the team fell to 4-7.

Neither team has any hope of making the playoffs, but this game is far from meaningless, as both teams are looking to see which players to keep as they rebuild for the future.

This isn't about the playoffs—it's about keeping your job.


When: Sunday, December 2 at 1:00 p.m. ET

Where: Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

TV: CBS (check local listings)

Live Stream: NFL Sunday Ticket

Listen (radio):


Spread: Buffalo -6 (via Bovada)

This is one of the toughest spreads to bet against this week. Typically, I would take the over here, but Buffalo is coming off a poor loss to the Colts while the Jags are coming off a division win over the Tennessee Titans.

It's going to be a very close one, but this pick comes down to which defense you think can play better against a banged-up offense.


Over/Under: 45 (via Bovada)

The over/under for this game seems to be much more favorable, as neither team has a very good defense, and this is a low spread for any game.

I'm definitely taking the over on this one.


Jacksonville Injury Report (via Yahoo! Sports as of Nov. 27, 2012)

 Rashean Mathis CB Questionable Groin
 Dwight Lowery S Questionable Ankle
 Greg Jones RB Out Thigh


Buffalo Injury Report (via Yahoo! Sports as of Nov. 27, 2012)

 Eric Wood C Probable Knee
 Aaron Williams CB Out Knee
 Mario Williams DE Probable Wrist, ankle
 Kyle Williams DT Probable Ankle
 C.J. Spiller RB Probable Shoulder
 Brad Smith WR Questionable Hamstring
 Shawne Merriman DE Probable Groin
 Leodis McKelvin CB Probable Groin
 Corey McIntyre RB Questionable Knee
 Chris Kelsay DE Probable Neck
 Spencer Johnson DT Questionable Ankle
 Fred Jackson RB Probable Concussion
 Marcell Dareus DT Probable Shoulder
 Jairus Byrd S Probable Back
 Mark Anderson DE Out Knee


Fantasy Big Plays

Jacksonville RB Rashad Jennings

According to The Florida Times-Union, Jennings will be the one getting the majority of the touches this week, giving him another opportunity to impress fantasy owners.

Jennings started the season slowly, posting just three fantasy points as the starter in Week 1. However, against the Oakland Raiders and the Titans he went for double-digit points, and I'm expecting a season-best on Sunday.

This is a Buffalo defense that is giving up 147.3 yards on the ground per game, and Jennings can take advantage of that.

Predicted Stats: 17 carries, 82 yards, 1 TD


Buffalo RB C.J. Spiller

Spiller got the good news that he will be taking 60 percent of the snaps for the rest of the season this week, and that is even better news for his fantasy owners.

Expected to be a solid backup entering the season, Spiller has finally taken over the starting role for Buffalo this season, and will make the most of it against a Jacksonville defense that ranks 29th in the league against the run.

Predicted Stats: 24 carries, 107 yards, 1 TD


Key to Victory: Can Either Team Play Defense?

Both of these teams are among the NFL's worst defenses, giving up nearly 30 points per game.

Both sides have playmakers who can go off at any moment, and the key to this game will be limiting the damage.



Due to MJD's apparent injury and Spiller's ability to break off long runs I'm picking the Bills to win this game in a high-scoring affair.

Predicted Score: Bills 34, Jaguars 27


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