NFL over-Unders Week 13: Games That Are Locks to Outscore Projection

Rob GoldbergFeatured ColumnistNovember 29, 2012

PHILADELPHIA, PA - NOVEMBER 11:  Nick Foles #9 of the Philadelphia Eagles passes the ball as  Jay Ratliff #90 of the Dallas Cowboys defends on November 11, 2012 at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.The Dallas Cowboys defeated the Philadelphia Eagles 38-23.  (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
Elsa/Getty Images

Most people look towards the point spreads to make bets, but many times the over/unders are the best way to make money.

Week 13 of the NFL season fits that description with a lot of lines that are too low for the teams playing.

These games are certain to be high-scoring and should be able to top the projected mark with ease.

Note: All lines courtesy of Vegas Insider.


Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills (45)

The Jacksonville Jaguars seemed to have found a quarterback in Chad Henne. With the former Miami Dolphin under center, the Jaguars lost in overtime to the one-loss Houston Texans and beat the Tennessee Titans.

In those games, the team totaled 61 points. 

This is quite an accomplishment, considering the team only managed 65 points in the previous five games, and only one other win all season.

C.J. Spiller should also have a big game for the Bills against the fourth-worst run defense in the league. 

Combine this with the fact that these teams are No. 29 and No. 30 in the NFL in points allowed, and this should be an offensive showdown with both teams likely scoring in the 30s.


New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins (51.5)

In the last four games, the Patriots have scored 190 points for an average of 47.5 points per game. This total is more than four teams have scored all season.

The squad is continuing to prove that it does not matter which receivers are healthy; it will succeed as long as Tom Brady is still there at quarterback. In addition, Stevan Ridley has provided balance with his production running the football.

This team would be unstoppable if not for one of the worst pass defenses in the league.

Miami should be able to score some points, but the Patriots could possibly beat this over/under on their own.

With only one of New England's last nine games combining for fewer than 52 points, this seems like a safe play.


Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (43)

Since Todd Bowles replaced Juan Castillo as the defensive coordinator of the Philadelphia Eagles, the defense has declined dramatically.

Opponents have scored at least 28 points in all five contests, and quarterbacks have combined for 13 touchdowns and zero interceptions. 

There is no reason to believe that Dallas will not be able to do more of the same against a unit that looks like it has given up on the season.

Of course, the Cowboys defense is not perfect either, as evident by the 38 points allowed on Thanksgiving to the Washington Redskins.

Rookies Nick Foles and Bryce Brown will want to play hard on offense to earn playing time in the future, so they should be worth a few touchdowns.

Altogether, there should be enough scoring to top the 43-point mark that is set for this game.