Oklahoma State vs. Baylor: Latest Spread Info, BCS Impact and Predictions
The Baylor Bears (6-5) and Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-4) are going to put on a point parade during their season finale in Waco, Texas, on Saturday afternoon.
Both teams are two of the top offensive juggernauts in the FBS. Forget the close defensive battles that are sure to come later in the day with games like Alabama against Georgia and Wisconsin against Nebraska.
This is the Big 12, and they don't put much of a priority on defense. That much is certain given the video game-like stats most of the conference's schools are posting this season.
Take a look at a guide of everything you need to know about the final game of the regular season for the Bears and Cowboys.
When: Saturday, Dec. 1, at Noon ET
Where: Floyd Casey Stadium, Waco, Texas
Listen: Free Football Radio
Spread: Baylor +4 (via Covers)
Who will cover the spread?
Baylor has struggled to stop teams this season and has surrendered an average of 38.5 points per game as a result. Despite all their scoring the Bears have been unable to win games because of their lack of success on both sides of the ball.
The Cowboys are better defensively, but not by much. Kansas State was supposedly a defensive powerhouse in the Big 12, and look where that got them.
Take the points here for Baylor. This game is going to come down to the wire. Whoever ends up with the ball last, or who scores most in overtime, is going to come out of it as the victor.
Over/Under: 86.5 (via Covers)
Both of these teams have relied on top-five scoring offenses to put up abnormal point totals this season. The Cowboys are ranked third in the nation, averaging 45.6 points per game. Baylor comes in at fifth with 44.4 points per game.
It's hard to imagine a season finale in Waco that doesn't end in a scoring outburst by both of these teams. Go with the insanely high over for this matchup and don't look back.
Oklahoma State Injury Report via USA Today (as of 11/29/2012)
QB Wes Lunt, Head, Questionable
TE Justin Horton, Undisclosed, Out for season
WR Tracy Moore, Ankle, Out indefinitely
QB J.W. Walsh, Knee, Out for season
WR C.J. Curry, Shoulder, Out for season
CB Jonovan Grifin, Knee, Out for season
LB Jeremiah Tshimanga, Knee, Out for season
Baylor Injury Report via USA Today (as of 11/29/2012)
S K.J. Morton, Groin, Questionable
LB Rodney Chadwick, Knee, Out indefinitely
DB Demetri Goodson, Arm, Out indefinitely
DT Kaeron Johnson, Back, Out for season
Oklahoma and Kansas State have more or less locked in on the only potential BCS at-large selections for the conference. The Wildcats will win the conference and represent their peers at the BCS Tostitos Fiesta Bowl.
Keys for Cowboys Victory
Oklahoma State needs to take full advantage of running back Joseph Randle. If they can get a running game going the Cowboys should be able to keep Baylor's offense off the field. That will help spoiling the momentum that they use to rattle off quick and consecutive scoring drives.
Getting Randle going won't be the only thing the Cowboys need to do, but it certainly will help their chances.
Keys for Bears Victory
The Bears are going to score points. It isn't a matter of if; it's a matter of how many. That much is a given.
It's been Baylor's defense that has surprised most during the team's two-game win streak against Kansas State and Texas Tech. They're still giving up points but the Bears have been much more aggressive.
Getting to junior Cowboys quarterback Clint Chelf is the key for the Bears. If they can limit Chelf's time in the pocket and force even a couple stops, it may be enough to help the offense create some distance on the scoreboard.
The Bears are hot right now and feeling it offensively after two big wins over Kansas State and Texas Tech. They'll continue that hot streak in Waco with another upset to finish a very up-and-down 2012 season.
Predicted Score: Baylor 63, Oklahoma State 59
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