8 Super-Hot NBA Players and Teams Bound to Cool Off
Despite being several weeks into the NBA season, there are still plenty of super-hot players and teams that will eventually work their way back down to the mean.
We're beginning to get to the point where one or two big performances don't have that much of an impact on individual statistics, but there's still the off chance that statistics are misleading.
Regardless of whether the statistics are misleading, the players and teams that are about to be listed have slim chances of maintaining their strong starts.
For some, consistency and longevity have been issues in the past. For others, returning veterans or different team dynamics will begin to get in the way.
Some teams just simply don't have the assets necessary to sustain their hot starts.
The following eight slides will highlight players and teams that started red-hot but likely won't keep up their insane levels of production.
Stats accurate as of Thursday morning (Nov. 29).
O.J. Mayo is currently averaging 19.8 points per game. In his first season with the Dallas Mavericks, he is thriving.
This has been without franchise cornerstone Dirk Nowitzki, however. As soon as Nowitzki returns, Mayo's production will take a hit.
Not only is his scoring up somewhat significantly from his 15.5 career average, but so is his shooting percentage. He is a career 43.5 percent shooter from the field; he is at 47.6 percent this year. .
His previous numbers suggest that Mayo won't be able to keep this up. Even if he does keep his percentage up, the presence of Nowitzki will take looks away from him.
Mayo won't average 20 points per game this season. He'll likely fall back down into the 16-point range.
Coming off the bench for the Los Angeles Clippers this season, Jamal Crawford has been nothing short of fantastic. He is averaging 17.5 points per game on 44.9 percent shooting in 28.7 minutes per game.
Crawford has always been a successful scorer in the NBA. Six previous times, he has averaged at least 17.0 points per game, and once he has averaged more than 20 points per game.
What makes me think that he will regress is exactly what makes me think Mayo will regress—shooting percentage. Crawford's career mark is just under 41 percent.
It's not a huge jump (44.9), but it's enough for a guy that has shot less than 40 percent from the floor on four separate occasions. Don't be surprised if Crawford slows down a bit as the season progresses.
Chandler Parsons has put together a fine start to his sophomore season. He's averaging 15.7 points, 7.0 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game on just under 48 percent shooting.
These numbers represent vast increases from his line of 9.5 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game from last season. Granted, he's currently averaging nearly 10 more minutes per game.
Even with the increase in minutes, Parsons may not keep up these numbers as the season progresses.
Jeremy Lin has been struggling (averaging just 10.3 points per game on 37.7 percent shooting). As soon as he gets it going again, he'll command more looks on offense.
This would mean that everybody other than James Harden would be looking to dish to Lin a bit more. Because Lin has had difficulties putting the ball in the basket, he's been passing up on opportunities he previously would have taken.
Parsons looks as if he will develop into a solid all-around player in the NBA. He won't be able to keep up his current numbers all season long, however.
Surprised to see the Miami Heat here? Well, allow me to explain before you decide to rip me apart in the comments section.
As a team, the Miami Heat will not regress. They are the reigning NBA champs for a reason. Where they will regress, however, is in the three-point shooting category.
On the season, they are shooting an absolutely ridiculous 43.2 percent from deep.
LeBron James is shooting 43.9 percent. Ray Allen is shooting 52.9 percent. Rashard Lewis is shooting 53.6 percent. Shane Battier is shooting 45.8 percent. Mike Miller is shooting 41.7 percent. James Jones is shooting 50 percent.
There's absolutely no way this pace is sustainable. The Heat will fall back down to earth from deep eventually, making them a much easier team to defeat.
I'm not saying the Heat as a team will regress. I'm just saying that there's no way they can shoot this well for much longer.
Jerry Stackhouse must have found the Fountain of Youth this offseason.
The 38-year-old was averaging 5.6 points per game this season prior to his 17-point outburst against the Boston Celtics on Wednesday night.
Stackhouse hasn't averaged double-digit points since the 2007-08 season with the Dallas Mavericks, but he's playing at a level right now that makes that seem like a possibility.
Unfortunately for him and the Brooklyn Nets, there's not a very good chance he keeps this up.
For one, his age is a factor. It's very rare that 38-year-old bench players can be consistent for an entire season. He's also shooting 53.6 percent from three, absolutely destroying his career mark of 31 percent. That's not a number that he can sustain.
He's also averaging 15.8 minutes per game, the first time he's eclipsed double-digit minutes since 2009-10 with the Milwaukee Bucks.
Stackhouse is a nice story, but he might have a hard time keeping this type of play up.
Anderson Varejao is off to such a ridiculous start relative to the rest of his career that he's already popped up in early-season trade rumors.
He's brought down 14.9 rebounds per game and scored 14.5 per game. Both represent career marks by a pretty decent margin.
These numbers may be somewhat inflated from his 35-point, 18-rebound performance against the Nets earlier this month, but it's getting to the point in the season where these performances shouldn't matter much.
The Cleveland Cavaliers would be smart to trade their big man now. His value will never be higher, and it stands a strong chance of getting significantly lower.
A big man that can average a double-double is valuable, but a big man that can average the double-double that Varejao is right now would have a huge price tag.
The Cavaliers can capitalize on this hot start by trading him, because he won't be keeping up this production for very much longer.
The Memphis Grizzlies have the best record in the NBA at 11-2, and they've done it with dynamic scoring totals from four of their five starters.
Four starters are averaging at least 14.9 points per game (Tony Allen is the only starter below), and they've all shot good percentages from the floor.
The Grizzlies will have to begin to rely on their bench a little more as the season progresses. They can't expect four of their starters to score 15 points per game for the remainder of the season.
There's no doubting the fact that the Grizzlies are a very talented team. Predicting a regression from them is not easy.
However, a 13-game stretch of 9-4 is much more realistic than the 11-2 run they're on right now.
The Grizzlies have a tough road ahead of them in the Western Conference. They'll need as much scoring as possible from everyone on the roster.
That being said, they're not going to keep going on many 11-2 stretches.
The Milwaukee Bucks are off to a 7-6 start this season. While that's by no means scorching hot, it's the way that the Bucks have been winning that suggests that they will undergo a severe regression.
Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis have anchored the team to the point where the Bucks really don't have much of an inside game.
Samuel Dalembert and Ersan Ilyasova have been mediocre at best, while Jennings and Ellis have combined to score 35.5 points per game.
Outside of the pair, the only other player on the roster averaging double-digit points is Mike Dunleavy—who isn't even a starter.
The Bucks can't keep afloat in the Eastern Conference if only two players are doing all of the team's scoring.
The Chicago Bulls and Indiana Pacers likely won't stay behind the Bucks for long, so the team will have to find other ways to get its players involved on offense.
If that doesn't happen, the Bucks' nice start will be a thing of the past.
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