When it comes to the BCS, here is what we know:
Notre Dame is going to play the winner of Alabama and Georgia, the Sugar Bowl will almost assuredly select Florida, the Rose Bowl is locked into the winners of the Pac-12 and Big Ten and the Fiesta Bowl will likely pick Oregon to face whichever school wins the Big 12, Kansas State or Oklahoma.
After that, it gets messy.
A Big East team will get a berth, but which one? Can a mid-major like Kent State, Boise State or Northern Illinois sneak into the BCS? (Hint: it will probably happen.) Will Georgia Tech win the ACC Championship game and be the worst BCS team of all-time?
As you can see, there is the potential for a lot of stinker games on the BCS slate. Let's rank them.
Rose Bowl: Wisconsin vs. UCLA
While I have a hard time imagining this happening, the worst potential scenario for the Rose Bowl is that they will lose both No. 8 Stanford and No. 12 Nebraska. Suddenly, an intriguing matchup between two even teams would go out the window.
Instead, we'd get an underachieving Wisconsin team and a surprising UCLA team that won't move the needle around the country. This game would be a ratings disaster for the Grandaddy of Them All, and leave players like Stepfan Taylor and Taylor Martinez relegated to less prominent bowls.
Sugar Bowl: Florida vs. Rutgers/Louisville
In a perfect world—or at least an ideal one for the Sugar Bowl—none of the mid-major schools would crack the top 16 and the Sugar Bowl would be free to choose between Oklahoma/Kansas State or Clemson with its second choice of at-large selections.
But if Kent State, Boise State or Northern Illinois crack the top 16, they'll get an automatic BCS bid since neither of the potential Big East champions are even ranked. That means the Sugar Bowl would have to choose between the Big East winner and a mid-major.
It's possible the Sugar Bowl could go with Boise State over Rutgers or Louisville if the Broncos earn a BCS bid. I could get behind that game. More than likely, though, the Sugar Bowl would go with the Big East team, and more than likely, Florida would have a 35-0 lead at the half in a boring blowout.
Orange Bowl: Florida State vs. Kent State/Northern Illinois
I think we could all deal with Florida State taking on Louisville or Rutgers. After all, the Seminoles lost to NC State, so that game could theoretically be competitive. And given Boise State's history in the BCS, I don't think people will be overly disappointed if they get the bid.
But c'mon, Florida State against Kent State or Northern Illinois? I mean no disrespect to either school—they've earned their rankings—but nobody outside of those campuses wants to see them take on Florida State. Nobody.
With TCU now in the Big 12 and Boise State joining the Big (no longer) East, the days of the intriguing BCS mid-majors has come to an end. Sorry, Kent State and Northern Illinois, but we're not just not that into you.
Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. Kent State/Boise State/Northern Illinois/Rutgers/Louisville
Can you believe that if Georgia Tech somehow beats Florida State in the ACC Championship, a 7-6 team will get an automatic BCS berth?
I'm telling you right now, if they win the ACC I will not be watching the Orange Bowl. No way, Jose. And imagine being a team like Kent State or Northern Illinois that totally defied the odds, made the BCS, was pumped up to prove it could upset a national power and found out it would be playing Georgia Tech.
It would be like waiting your entire life on the Green Bay Packers season-ticket waiting list, finally winning the tickets and finding out the team had decided to leave the NFL and go up north to try its luck in the CFL instead.
In other words, complete and utter disappointment. Georgia Tech, please lose to Florida State. PLEASE!
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