The role of favorite in Atlanta usually means a Falcons victory, as they are 16-3 SU in their 19 games in this role. The Saints were a 3.5-point road underdog at most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark.com as of Wednesday.
Last week’s 31-21 loss at home to the San Francisco 49ers was just the second SU and ATS loss for the Saints over their last seven games, as they are 5-2 SU and ATS over that stretch.
With a 5-6 SU record, New Orleans will likely need to finish out the remainder of their tough schedule with at least four more wins to have a shot at making the playoffs as a Wild Card team. They have played very tough within the NFC South, running up a 6-1 SU and ATS mark in seven recent games against division foes.
It hasn’t always been pretty, but the Atlanta Falcons keep finding ways to win. Since suffering their first and only loss of the season to the Saints in Week 10, the Falcons have survived a five-interception day against Arizona and edged out a one-point win over Tampa Bay last week.
Atlanta is 10-1 SU and 6-4-1 ATS overall this season. The Falcons appear to be in firm control of a first-round bye with a two-game cushion over Chicago and just five games remaining in the regular season.
While Atlanta has all but locked up the NFC South at this point, the Falcons would love to avoid a sweep by their rival New Orleans. It is one of few Week 13 games without significant NFL injury concerns affecting handicappers.
The total has gone OVER in seven of the last 10 games in this series.
Three weeks ago in New Orleans the Saints topped Atlanta 31-27. Considering their dominance over Atlanta and the fact that their season is on the line, we can’t pass on the 3.5 points here.
All five of Atlanta’s home wins this season have come by six points or less, and even if the Falcons do pick up an elusive win over New Orleans, it will likely be in a close game.
PICK: New Orleans +3.5 (courtesy of PickShark.com)