Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints: Betting Odds, Preview and Pick

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistNovember 28, 2012

TAMPA, FL - NOVEMBER 25: Quarterback Matt Ryan #2 of the  Atlanta Falcons directs play against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers   November 25, 2012 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida.  (Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images)
Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images

The New Orleans Saints have won their last four games against the Atlanta Falcons—and 11 of the past 13—but they are underdogs to get a win Thursday that would keep their playoff hopes alive.

The role of favorite in Atlanta usually means a Falcons victory, as they are 16-3 SU in their 19 games in this role. The Saints were a 3.5-point road underdog at most sportsbooks tracked by as of Wednesday. 

Last week’s 31-21 loss at home to the San Francisco 49ers was just the second SU and ATS loss for the Saints over their last seven games, as they are 5-2 SU and ATS over that stretch.

With a 5-6 SU record, New Orleans will likely need to finish out the remainder of their tough schedule with at least four more wins to have a shot at making the playoffs as a Wild Card team. They have played very tough within the NFC South, running up a 6-1 SU and ATS mark in seven recent games against division foes.

It hasn’t always been pretty, but the Atlanta Falcons keep finding ways to win. Since suffering their first and only loss of the season to the Saints in Week 10, the Falcons have survived a five-interception day against Arizona and edged out a one-point win over Tampa Bay last week.

Atlanta is 10-1 SU and 6-4-1 ATS overall this season. The Falcons appear to be in firm control of a first-round bye with a two-game cushion over Chicago and just five games remaining in the regular season.

While Atlanta has all but locked up the NFC South at this point, the Falcons would love to avoid a sweep by their rival New Orleans. It is one of few Week 13 games without significant NFL injury concerns affecting handicappers.

The total has gone OVER in seven of the last 10 games in this series.

Three weeks ago in New Orleans the Saints topped Atlanta 31-27. Considering their dominance over Atlanta and the fact that their season is on the line, we can’t pass on the 3.5 points here.

All five of Atlanta’s home wins this season have come by six points or less, and even if the Falcons do pick up an elusive win over New Orleans, it will likely be in a close game.   


PICK: New Orleans +3.5 (courtesy of


All odds, stats and trends mentioned courtesy of Mike Pickett is an Analyst to Bleacher Report and contributes to the Twitter feed.