The Latest Buzz around Odds, Spreads and Lines for NFL Week 13
It seems like the further the season progresses, the less we know. But that also goes for the Vegas oddsmakers, judging by the Week 13 lines.
Some of the spreads are a little high. It's almost like they're trying to get us to bet on the underdog.
What do they know that we don't know? Or, better yet, what do they know that we think we know?
Click through for a few highlights of this week's NFL point spreads.
All odds provided by bovada.lv, footballlocks.com and espn.go.com.
Underreaction Line of the Week: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills (-6)
Two wins separate the Buffalo Bills from the Jacksonville Jaguars. And the way Chad Henne has played this year, the Jaguars would have won more with him than they did with the Blaine Gabbert version.
Henne was probably never given a shot in training camp and it ultimately doomed Jacksonville's season.
So why should the Bills give up six points? Just because they're at home?
Buffalo is 4-7! I just don't get it.
Overreaction Line of the Week: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys (-9)
This line had to make it into the slideshow and fits under multiple categories.
While Robert Griffin III putting up a huge fantasy day is common, that doesn't mean we shouldn't adjust accordingly when a defense fails to have any effect on him. He put a quarterback rating of 132.6!
Of course, Nick Foles is nowhere near that good and his Philly team has looked atrocious, but we're still talking about the Cowboys. They weren't capable of covering a large spread against the Cleveland Browns, why should I trust them now?
I don't, and I won't.
Sure-to-Move Line: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens (Pick 'Em)
I'm not entirely sure where anyone would get the idea that the Pittsburgh Steelers cancel out the normal three-point home-field advantage. Last I checked, the Baltimore Ravens had only lost twice this season.
You can knock off a win based on a possible missed field goal (ball went over the upright against the New England Patriots), but that still leaves them winning 80 percent of their games.
Regardless, the line will certainly move once people realize that Ben Roethlisberger isn't playing. I know everyone thinks he will because of the magnitude of the game. However, this injury carries a risk of death.
And Charlie Batch is certainly not going to be worth those three points.
Stay-Away Game of the Week: Indianapolis Colts vs. Detroit Lions (-4.5)
Neither of these teams inspire a ton of confidence.
We've seen an aerial attack like the New England Patriots lay waste to the Indianapolis Colts defense. Stafford hasn't always been accurate but he has some serious horses on the outside who can adjust to off-target throws.
Then again, we've seen how poorly the Lions are capable of playing. They have a tendency to shoot themselves in the foot. And the secondary doesn't exactly instill fear into any decent quarterback.
So who's left to trust?
The Full Slate of Games for Week 13
Thursday Night Game:
New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons (-30); O/U 56
Seattle Seahawks vs. Chicago Bears (-4); O/U 37.5
Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers (-9); O/U 46.5
San Francisco 49ers (-7.5) vs. St. Louis Rams; O/U 40
Arizona Cardinals vs. New York Jets (-4.5); O/U 37
Carolina Panthers (-3) vs. Kansas City Chiefs; O/U 41
Indianapolis Colts vs. Detroit Lions (-4.5); O/U 51
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Buffalo Bills (-6); 45
New England Patriots (-9) vs. Miami Dolphins; O/U 51
Houston Texans (-6) vs Tennessee Titans; O/U 47
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Denver Broncos (-7)
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Baltimore Ravens (Pick 'Em); O/U none available
Cleveland Browns vs. Oakland Raiders (Pick 'Em); O/U 45
Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5) San Diego Chargers; O/U 46.5
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Dallas Cowboys (-9); O/U none available
Monday Night Game:
New York Giants (-2.5) vs. Washington Redskins; O/U 51