2012 NFL Week 13 Picks: Packers over Vikings

Jake WestrichSenior Writer INovember 27, 2012

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - NOVEMBER 25:  Wide receiver Jordy Nelson #87 of the Green Bay Packers celebrates with tight end Jermichael Finley #88 after scoring a touchdown in the first quarter against the New York Giants at MetLife Stadium on November 25, 2012 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Rich Schultz/Getty Images)
Rich Schultz/Getty Images

A common conviction that holds the fervor between the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears is unmatched in the NFC North.  This is a bit of a misnomer, as Chicago is not the most hated of villains in some hearts of Green Bay.

That distinction belongs to the Minnesota Vikings.

After all, no matter what the sporting arena, the states of Minnesota and Wisconsin rarely see eye to eye on matters.

Randy Moss, of the purple and yellow, did little to pacify these waters when he infamously "mooned" the Lambeau faithful in 2005. Oh, and the relocation of a certain Cheesehead gunslinger to the Twin Cities has yet to be forgotten by those in the Badger State.

The animosity between these Black-and-Blue divisional foes should be alive and well this Sunday, as both squads are aiming for playoff positions as December draws near.

This northern battle doubles as our WhatIfSports.com Game of the Week.

It's a rarity to see Aaron Rodgers and company holding their tail between their legs, but such a predicament has manifested after the Packers were on the business end of a 38-10 beat down by the New York Giants in Week 12.

However, Green Bay can't hang their heads too low, as Mike McCarthy's crew had won their previous five contests and remain just a game behind the Bears for the division lead.

This has been especially impressive given the team's rash of injuries, as stars Charles Woodson, Greg Jennings, Clay Matthews and Cedric Benson have all missed extended action.

As is usually the case, Rodgers has been the piston that makes the Packers' engine pump.

Despite the absence of some of his favorite targets, as well as a the lack of a serviceable terrain game, the reigning MVP has thrown for 25 touchdowns and nearly 2,100 yards in his last eight games. Though his protection of the pigskin has been somewhat suspect compared to past production, it's hard to argue that the Green Bay field general is not the paramount of his position.

Unfortunately, the same could not be said for his Vikings counterpart.

After a strong start out of the gate, second-year signal caller Christian Ponder has struggled mightily for Minnesota, correlating to a 2-4 record for the Vikes in their last six outings.  With a daunting schedule down the stretch, including two dates with Green Bay, Ponder's inconsistency will have to be eliminated if Minnesota holds any aspirations of a postseason berth.

Luckily for the Vikings, Adrian Peterson is enjoying a career-best campaign.

While the All-Pro back was making extraordinary progress on his offseason knee surgery, his 2012 season outlook was ominous at best near the end of training camp. Peterson quickly alleviated any apprehension in the season opener with 84 yards on 17 carries, including two end-zone excursions, and has not looked back.

Entering Week 13, Peterson leads the league in rushing and is averaging 112.4 yards per game on the ground, nearly 16 more yards than the nearest competition. Not bad for a cat who some imagined was washed up as late as August.

So who emerges victorious in this week's showdown on the frozen tundra of Lambeau Field?

According to the award-winning WhatIfSports.com football simulation engine, the Packers come out on top 58.4 percent of the time by an average margin of 22-20.

For the rest of this week's projections, check below:

NFL Week 13
Matchup Win% Avg Score
Philadelphia Eagles 33.9 19 Boxscore
@ Dallas Cowboys 66.1 25 Eagles" target="_blank">Simulate Game
New Orleans Saints 34.6 23 Boxscore
@ Atlanta Falcons 65.4 28 Saints" target="_blank">Simulate Game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 35.0 21 Boxscore
@ Denver Broncos 65.0 26 Buccaneers" target="_blank">Simulate Game
Jacksonville Jaguars 35.4 22 Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bills 64.6 26 Jaguars" target="_blank">Simulate Game
Seattle Seahawks 38.9 16 Boxscore
@ Chicago Bears 61.1 19 Seahawks" target="_blank">Simulate Game
Minnesota Vikings 41.6 20 Boxscore
@ Green Bay Packers 58.4 22 Simulate Game
Pittsburgh Steelers 42.3 21 Boxscore
@ Baltimore Ravens 57.7 23 Steelers" target="_blank">Simulate Game
Indianapolis Colts 45.1 26 Boxscore
@ Detroit Lions 54.9 28 Lions&vSeason=2012&vTeam=Indianapolis+Colts" target="_blank">Simulate Game
Cleveland Browns 47.2 23 Boxscore
@ Oakland Raiders 52.8 24 Raiders&vSeason=2012&vTeam=Cleveland+Browns" target="_blank">Simulate Game
New York Giants 53.1 21 Boxscore
@ Washington Redskins 46.9 20 Simulate Game
Arizona Cardinals 54.5 17 Boxscore
@ New York Jets 45.5 15 Cardinals" target="_blank">Simulate Game
Carolina Panthers 58.8 23 Boxscore
@ Kansas City Chiefs 41.2 19 Panthers" target="_blank">Simulate Game
Cincinnati Bengals 58.8 26 Boxscore
@ San Diego Chargers 41.2 23 Chargers&vSeason=2012&vTeam=Cincinnati+Bengals" target="_blank">Simulate Game
San Francisco 49ers 65.2 23 Boxscore
@ St. Louis Rams 34.8 18 Rams&vSeason=2012&vTeam=San+Francisco+49ers" target="_blank">Simulate Game
New England Patriots 73.5 27 Boxscore
@ Miami Dolphins 26.5 20 Patriots" target="_blank">Simulate Game
Houston Texans 75.5 30 Boxscore
@ Tennessee Titans 24.5 20 Titans&vSeason=2012&vTeam=Houston+Texans" target="_blank">Simulate Game

Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com's NFL simulation engine will provide you with predictions, box scores and statistics for every NFL game that week. The NFL simulation engine generates detailed information including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win %), average score and comprehensive box score link.

If you want to share your new found NFL knowledge with friends and family, make sure to check out our NFL Widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or click on the social networking share bar located at the top and bottom of the article.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of NFL games simulated are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth chart and statistically based player ranking. Roster modifications have been made for injuries and suspensions and those players are not part of their team's game simulation.

To account for injuries and roster moves announced late in the week, we will be re-simulating some games on Thursdays throughout the 2012 NFL season.

Check out our 2012 NFL Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy week-to-week and find Locks and Upsets of the Week.


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