Neither team has much of a chance of making the NFL playoffs, but when the Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills square off, we will see one of the closest games of Week 13.
In the teams' last games, the Jags fended off the Tennessee Titans in an AFC South matchup for their second win of the season, whereas Buffalo fell to rookie Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts, losing four of the team's last five.
It's been a disappointing year for both teams, but they will no doubt try to make the best of a bad season by adding another tally into the win column on Sunday.
Make no mistake: Just because these teams are out of the playoff race doesn't mean we won't see some great football in Buffalo on Sunday.
Where: Ralph Wilson Stadium, Orchard Park, N.Y.
When: Sunday, December 2 at 1 p.m. ET
Live Stream: NFL.com
Betting Line: Buffalo -6.5 (Vegas)
Jacksonville Injury Report (via Yahoo! Sports as of Nov. 27, 2012)
|William Middleton CB||Out||Concussion|
|Rashean Mathis CB||Questionable||Groin|
|Dwight Lowery S||Questionable||Ankle|
|Greg Jones RB||Out||Thigh|
Buffalo Injury Report (via Yahoo! Sports as of Nov. 27, 2012)
|Eric Wood C||Probable||Knee|
|Aaron Williams CB||Out||Knee|
|Mario Williams DE||Probable||Wrist, ankle|
|Kyle Williams DT||Probable||Ankle|
|C.J. Spiller RB||Probable||Shoulder|
|Brad Smith WR||Questionable||Hamstring|
|Shawne Merriman DE||Probable||Groin|
|Leodis McKelvin CB||Probable||Groin|
|Corey McIntyre RB||Questionable||Knee|
|Chris Kelsay DE||Probable||Neck|
|Spencer Johnson DT||Questionable||Ankle|
|Fred Jackson RB||Probable||Concussion|
|Marcell Dareus DT||Probable||Shoulder|
|Jairus Byrd S||Probable||Back|
|Mark Anderson DE||Out||Knee|
What's at Stake?
As I mentioned before, neither team has much of a chance of making the playoffs. However, both teams will be playing for pride and for the benefit of their fanbases on Sunday.
Both teams are struggling this year, but a win on Sunday would ease the pain just a little bit more.
Jacksonville RB Rashad Jennings
Every time I've previewed a Bills game this season I've picked the opposing team's running back as my fantasy play, and that streak won't come to an end this week.
The Bills are horrible against fantasy running backs, but I will end this pick with a word of caution.
The Bills stopped Reggie Bush and Vick Ballard in the last two weeks, allowing Bush just 20 rushing yards before holding Ballard to 41. It is worth mentioning that Jennings is arguably the best back of the three, and if you have him you should definitely start him, but I'm not expecting as much from him this week.
Predicted Stats: 17 carries, 82 yards, 1 TD
Buffalo RB C.J. Spiller
Spiller owners got great news this week, learning that he will officially be the Bills' No. 1 back for the rest of the season after expecting him to be No. 2 behind Fred Jackson all year.
Head coach Chan Gailey announced that Spiller will be getting 60 percent of the snaps moving forward, and he is bound have a big day opposing a Jacksonville defense that ranks No. 29 in the league against the run.
Predicted Stats: 24 carries, 107 yards, 1 TD
What They're Saying
As I said before, head coach Chan Gailey has decided that Spiller will be getting 60 percent of the team's snaps moving forward, which is a big move for the Bills. The team is finally giving him the playing time he deserves after averaging 6.7 yards per carry this season.
Chan Gailey's plan moving forward is for C.J. Spiller to get a 60-40 majority of the snaps with Fred Jackson.— Tim Graham (@ByTimGraham) November 26, 2012
We also found out that the Jaguars' No. 1 running back, Maurice Jones-Drew, is out this week, leading to more carries for Jennings.
Maurice Jones-Drew injury: Jaguars RB likely out again sns.mx/cLlDy0— Maurice Jones-Drew (@JonesDrewReport) November 27, 2012
Key Matchup: Can either team play defense?
The biggest reason why both of these teams are playing poorly is because neither one can play defense.
Jacksonville is giving up 410.5 yards per game and ranks No. 28 against the pass and No. 29 against the run.
Buffalo is allowing 147.3 yards per game on the ground alone, which has been the reason why the team can't beat quality opponents.
Whoever wins this game is going to have to play some type of defense, which certainly won't be easy for them.
Buffalo has proven that it can beat bad teams this year. In its four victories this season, the team has beaten teams with a combined 13-31 record, with no team winning more than five games this season.
The Bills have also played quality defense against the run in back-to-back weeks for the first time all season, and the loss of MJD hurts the Jags.
I expect Buffalo to win a close game, but win nonetheless.
Predicted Score: Bills 27, Jaguars 20
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