Well, one day into the tourney, it is safe to say that the madness has not begun. Sixteen games were played yesterday, and only four lower seeds won. None of those wins could even really be called a true upset. Sure, number 12 seed Western Kentucky beat number 5 seed Illinois, but the Hilltoppers have been here before. Last year, they made it to the Sweet 16 as a twelve seed. Why are there less surprises? My opinion is this, the hope of the NCAA from the NBA's age limit was that their talent pool would become deeper. This has happened to an extent, but the talent pool has only been increased for the major programs. The mid-majors have yet to see any real effect from this increase in talent, and until that overflow occurs they are finding themselves at one of the largest talent deficits in recent memory.
Only the truly established mid-major programs seem to pose even a threat to the major powers anymore. Perhaps, like last year, the second day of the tourney will yield more surprises. If not, prepare for a tourney filled with everything but the Cinderella story.
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