This isn't going to end well for the San Diego Chargers (4-6), who welcome the Baltimore Ravens (9-2) into Qualcomm Stadium for the second consecutive season.
Losers of five of their last six games, the Chargers are desperately trying to remain in the AFC playoff race and needs to get their season back on track against a Baltimore team that has won three in a row and has revenge on their minds.
Last year, Baltimore (10-3) was crushed by San Diego (6-7) 34-14 in Week 15 action, a win that saw the Chargers score at will. Terrell Suggs and the Ravens will be looking for redemption—and to stay only a game behind the Houston Texans for the top overall seed in the AFC playoff race.
Here's everything you need to know heading into Sunday's game.
When: Sunday, November 25 at 4:05 p.m. ET
Where: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California
Live Stream: NFL Sunday Ticket
Listen (radio): WBAL 1090 AM and 98 ROCK 97.9 FM (Baltimore), KIOZ 105.3 FM (San Diego)
Spread: Chargers +1 (via Covers.com)
Baltimore is 4-5-1 against the spread this season while the Chargers are 5-5.
It's essentially a pick'em game with the Chargers getting only a point, and it's obvious that this one is begging people to take the Ravens.
Lighting won't strike twice for the Chargers against the Ravens in San Diego—take the Ravens giving one. Heck, I'd take the Ravens giving a touchdown, because this one isn't going to be close.
Over/Under: 47 via Covers.com
Both defenses are allowing more than 20 points per game, with the Ravens giving up 20.6 per game while the Chargers aren't far behind at 22.1.
Offensively, Baltimore is tied with the New York Giants for eighth in the NFL with a 26.7 scoring average while the Chargers come in 16th, putting up 23.2 points per game.
However, only one team, the Ravens, will come close to matching their scoring average on the season in this one.
Take the under.
Who Might Not Play For Baltimore (via USA Today)
TE Dennis Pitta (Concussion): Probable
NT Terrence Cody (Elbow): Probable
DE Pernell McPhee (Thigh): Probable
WR Jacoby Jones (Ankle): Questionable
S Ed Reed (Shoulder): Questionable
LB Terrell Suggs (Shoulder): Questionable
WR David Reed (Knee): Questionable
DB Jimmy Smith (Groin): Out Indefinitely
Who Might Not Play For San Diego (via USA Today)
S Atari Bigby (Shoulder): Questionable
NT Aubrayo Franklin (Knee): Questionable
LB James Mouton (Hip): Questionable
LB Larry English (Knee): Doubtful
G Tyronne Green (Hamstring): Doubtful
WR Eddie Royal (Hamstring): Doubtful
TE Dante Rosario (Hamstring): Doubtful
T Jared Gaither (Groin): Doubtful
Fantasy Big Plays
Baltimore: QB Joe Flacco
San Diego has allowed five passing touchdowns over the past two weeks—three to Denver's Peyton Manning in Week 11 and a pair to Tampa Bay's Josh Freeman in Week 10.
Look for that trend to continue with Flacco, as he'll throw for 250 yards and a pair of touchdowns against the Chargers' injury-riddled defense.
It's not the biggest passing day you'll see in Week 12, but Flacco will be the high-scorer of the day on offense for the Ravens.
San Diego: RB Ryan Mathews
Mathews has been a major disappointment for fantasy owners in 2012, eclipsing 80 rushing yards only twice and finding the end zone only once, and that came nearly two months ago against the New Orleans Saints.
Mathews had success against a much stauncher Baltimore defense last season, carrying the ball 26 times for 90 yards and two touchdowns and adding two receptions for an additional 19 yards.
With the Ravens struggling against the run in 2012, allowing more than 121 yards per game, Mathews will once again finish the day with more than 100 total yards, and he'll also account for San Diego's only touchdown on the afternoon.
Baltimore continues to win in spite of being without Ray Lewis and Lardarius Webb on the defensive side of the ball, while San Diego has shown no ability to beat quality NFL teams in 2012—their victories have come against Oakland (3-7), Tennessee (4-6) and two against Kansas City (1-9).
The Ravens defense, led by Terrell Suggs and a motivated Ed Reed, will stifle Philip Rivers and the Chargers passing game, forcing turnovers and giving Joe Flacco and the offense excellent field position all afternoon.
Final Score: Baltimore 27, San Diego 10
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