The Tennessee Titans will look to keep their slim playoff hopes alive on Sunday when they travel to Florida to take on the hapless Jacksonville Jaguars.
The 4-6 Titans are two games behind Indianapolis and Pittsburgh in the AFC wild-card race, which means a matchup with the 1-9 Jaguars is coming at the perfect time.
Since their lone win of the season, the Jaguars have lost seven straight games. During that span, they've allowed 31.3 points per game and lost four games by at least 17 points.
The Jags did look strong in their last outing, keeping pace with the AFC's juggernaut, the Houston Texans. However, the result was the same as the previous six weeks, as Jacksonville eventually fell 43-37 in overtime.
Meanwhile, the Titans have won three of their last five, including a 37-3 beatdown of Miami in Week 10. All-Pro running back Chris Johnson is averaging over 130 yards per game in his last five, and with the team coming off a bye week, he should be well-rested.
When: Sunday, November 25 at 1 p.m. ET
Where: EverBank Field, Jacksonville, FL
What's the safer bet?
TV: CBS (check local listings)
Live Stream: NFL Sunday Ticket
Spread Info: Titans -3.5 (via Bovada)
Titans—via ESPN (as of 11/21)
Al Afalava—S, questionable
Xavier Adibi—LB, probable
Jamie Harper—RB, questionable
Jaguars—via ESPN (as of 11/21)
Greg B. Jones—FB, questionable
Dwight Lowery—S, questionable
Rashean Mathis—CB, questionable
Maurice Jones-Drew—RB, OUT
Blaine Gabbert—QB, Injured Reserve
Laurent Robinson—WR, Injured Reserve
Fantasy Big Plays
Titans: Chris Johnson, RB
As I mentioned above, Johnson has been a beast recently. He's rushed at least 126 yards in three of the Titans last five games, and all four of his touchdowns this year have come in the last four games.
He should be in for another big day this week, as the Jaguars are 29th in the NFL in rushing defense, giving up 138.6 yards per game. Johnson is unpredictable at times, but all signs point to a big game for him this Sunday.
Projected Stats: 22 carries for 121 yards and one touchdown
Jaguars: Justin Blackmon, WR
After Blackmon went nuts last week (seven catches for 236 yards and one touchdown), he is a certified must-start this Sunday. Of course, I wouldn't expect him to produce anywhere near what he did in Week 11, but against the porous Titans pass defense, he should have a solid day.
The Titans are ranked 25th in passing yards allowed (276.1 per game) and tied for 27th in passing touchdowns allowed (20). Look for Blackmon to create some major problems for them.
Projected Stats: five catches for 78 yards and one touchdown
Key to Victory: Quarterback play
Jake Locker vs. Chad Henne isn't exactly a salivating matchup, but the two quarterbacks will ultimately decide the fate of this game. Neither QB has to play hero, so whoever takes care of the ball better will likely be the winner.
Henne caught fire in last week's shootout with Houston, throwing for 354 yards and four touchdowns. He won't touch those numbers this week, but as long as he stays turnover-free again, the Jags will have a chance.
On the other side, Locker just has to give the ball to Chris Johnson and not force any throws. Neither QB is capable of carrying his team to victory, but both will give their teams a chance if they hold onto the ball.
Who will win on Sunday?
The Jaguars impressed last week, but I can't imagine them putting together two consecutive performances like that. Tennessee certainly isn't a powerhouse, but they should be able to contain Henne and force Jacksonville into some mistakes.
Look for the Titans to play solid defense and ride Chris Johnson on their way to a narrow victory.
Final Score: Titans 24, Jaguars 17