NFL Week 12 Picks: Thanksgiving Classic Predictions Against the Spread

Alex Kay@AlexPKayCorrespondent INovember 22, 2012

FOXBORO, MA - NOVEMBER 18:  Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots throws a pass against the Indianapolis Colts during the game on November 18, 2012 at Gillette Stadium in Foxboro, Massachusetts.  (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)
Jared Wickerham/Getty Images

There are three NFL contests on the slate for Thanksgiving, and they all promise to be thrilling. One way to make them even more exciting, and potentially lucrative, is to place some wagers down.

Let’s take a look at the games on tap and make some picks and predictions against the spread.

*Point spreads courtesy of


Houston Texans (-3.5) over Detroit Lions

The AFC’s top team, Houston, was nearly upset by the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars this past week.  Unfortunately, the Texans have had a short week of rest and preparation time to figure out how to fix their defense in time to face the Lions.

However, the Lions are back to two games below .500 and can’t seem to hold on to a lead, caving to the Green Bay Packers on Sunday in the fourth quarter after a hard-fought game.

We’re giving the edge to the Texans. Arian Foster should be able to find more lanes and perform better than he did in his showing against the Jags. Matt Schaub is making big plays, and Andre Johnson is playing his best football of the season.

The Lions might make this one interesting, but Houston will win by a touchdown when all is said and done.


Dallas Cowboys (-3) over Washington Redskins

It’s hard to bet against Dallas when its playing on Turkey Day, and we certainly aren’t about to suggest it.

While the ‘Skins have been looking good against the NFC East—notably their complete thrashing of the Nick Foles-led Philadelphia Eagles in Week 11—we like the ‘Boys more in a must-win contest at home.

This is the first of two times these teams will meet in 2012, and the edge is going to the more experienced 5-5 team that still has playoff dreams in a wide-open NFC race.

Robert Griffin III is going to be tough for defensive coordinator Rob Ryan to stop, but the specialist has likely been cooking up a game plan alongside his turkey all week.

As long as Tony Romo keeps his turnovers down, this is going to be an easy win and cover for Dallas.


New England Patriots (-7) over New York Jets

As long as this line is within a touchdown, we think you should roll with the Patriots against the Jets.

Fortunately, Gang Green put together a competitive game plan for the St. Louis Rams, giving this line a ton of value.

Bill Belichick, Tom Brady and the rest of the elite Patriots players are hungry to dismantle a team that took them to overtime earlier in the year. They should have no problem putting up points and keeping the opposing offense contained.

Mark Sanchez may have looked good last week, but he’s coming down to earth and will spend plenty of time laying on the turf this Thanksgiving.

Lay the points with the road favorite, and enjoy your Turkey Day!