The Dallas Cowboys are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games at home and 0-5 ATS in their past five at home to Washington.
They will try to break out of that slump with a win and cover Thursday against the Redskins at Cowboy Stadium in a Thanksgiving Day special. They were laying just three points at most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark.com as of Wednesday afternoon.
At 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS, it has been a fairly disappointing season for the Dallas Cowboys to this point, but they do enter this game on a two-game winning streak.
They enjoyed back-to-back wins over Philadelphia and Cleveland. Interestingly, all five of Dallas’s losses have come against playoff contenders in the New York Giants, Seattle, Chicago, Baltimore and Atlanta; against teams under .500 the Cowboys are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS.
But they have struggled within the division, while their foes have gone an impressive 8-2 ATS inside the NFC East lately, according to OddsShark.com's Week 12 trends report.
The Washington Redskins entered their bye in Week 10 on a three-game losing streak and in a rut offensively, but Robert Griffin III and company looked fantastic in a 31-6 win over the Philadelphia Eagles last Sunday.
The bye week may have helped Washington work out some of the kinks, but Philadelphia has also been a pretty easy target of late. On the season, the Redskins are 4-6 SU and 5-5 ATS.
The total has gone UNDER in five of Washington’s last six games and in nine of Dallas’s last 13 games. The total has also gone UNDER in five of the last seven games between these two division rivals, so plenty of signs point to a low-scoring battle this Thanksgiving.
Dallas is 7-3 SU against Washington over the last 10 games between these two teams, but the Redskins are 8-2 ATS over that stretch. Dallas has enjoyed success in recent years on Turkey Day with a 6-3 ATS record.
This one could go either way, but Dallas gets the nod at home here. Not only do the Cowboys have the superior defense, but they also have a passing attack that can exploit Washington’s weak passing defense. It should be a close game, but three points is a spread that Dallas should be able to handle at home.
PICK: Dallas -3 (courtesy of PickShark.com)