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Pagan isn't the only San Francisco Giants hero who can use sabermetrics to cash in this winter. Marco Scutaro can too, and he actually has a couple of sabermetric legs to stand on.
There's no question that Scutaro overachieved with the Giants down the stretch in 2012, as he's not going to hit .362 with an .859 OPS throughout an entire season.
And if I'm his agent, I know it's useless arguing that Scutaro can hit like that again throughout an entire season. Scutaro's agent is better of selling him as a perfect No. 2 hitter who can make things happen for an offense, as he did for the Giants.
A good No. 2 hitter is, of course, more than just a good hitter. Guys who hit second are also very good situational hitters, and there's a stat that we can turn to that takes situational hitting into account.
Baseball Prospectus has a stat called True Average (TAv), which is defined as a "measure of total offensive value scaled to batting average." It includes adjustments for park and league quality, and it encapsulates things like reaching via errors and, of course, situational hitting. Strikeouts are very damaging, bunts are less damaging, and so on.
Scutaro posted a TAv of .313 during his time with the Giants in 2012. That's not so great compared to his .362 average, but a .313 TAv is better than you think. Great hitters like David Wright, Matt Holliday and Albert Pujols didn't even manage to get their TAvs that high in 2012.
Also working in Scutaro's favor is a stat called RE24. It's a hard one to explain, but the basic idea is that it's a stat that quantifies run expectancies between the start and end of a play.
Every situation a hitter faces comes with a certain probability of a run being scored. A hitter can boost the probability by doing something productive (a hit, walk, etc.), and decrease the probability by doing something unproductive (a strikeout, a GIDP, etc.)
Scutaro's RE24 in his 61 games with the Giants was 23.32, which is very good. It goes to show how much he meant to the offense, as he was always either driving in runs, putting the Giants in position to score more runs, or both.
To put this in perspective, Miguel Cabrera's RE24 in his final 61 games was 22.79. He had a brilliant finish to his season, but Scutaro was a more valuable offensive cog.
As Scutaro's agent, that's where I rest my case and ask for more money.