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Won’t be battle tested at all
A common thread among many non-power conference teams that make a deep run in the NCAA tournament is a difficult nonconference schedule.
While that may mean dealing with an early loss or two, it typically pays dividends in March when the level of competition increases from conference play.
Memphis, on the other hand, will not be battle tested at all by Selection Sunday.
Yes, the Tigers play some good non-league games, including one against Louisville in December, but many of them are against teams that aren’t quite expected to play at the level they have in the past.
For example, Xavier and Tennessee are both dangerous squads, but both programs have had more talented teams in the past than they do in 2012-13.
The Conference USA will not be strong enough to prepare Memphis for six straight tourney wins.
Memphis will still have a great season, and win some games in March, but it won’t be ready for a national championship.