NFL Week 12 Picks: Houston Texans vs. Detroit Lions

Jeff GrantContributor INovember 20, 2012

NFL Week 12 Picks: Houston Texans vs. Detroit Lions

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    NFL handicappers may fade the Detroit Lions (4-6) when making their against-the-spread (ATS) picks the rest of the season, as they prepare to take on the Houston Texans (9-1) on Thanksgiving Day at Ford Field, with the opening kickoff scheduled for 12:30 p.m. ET on CBS.

    The Lions are currently four-point home underdogs in the Week 12 NFL betting odds (courtesy of SBR Forum), while the total has settled in at 50.5 in the market.

    It's hard to imagine that Thursday's host is capable of making a run into the playoffs, considering it trails both the Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers by three games in the NFC North standings.

    Let's take a closer look at this non-conference affair from a betting perspective, while offering a pro football prediction along the way. 

Houston Texans

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    The Houston Texans gained a franchise record 640 total yards in last week's thrilling 43-37 victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars as 15-point home favorites, but they may fall flat in the Motor City on Thanksgiving Day.

    Sports bettors need to realize that the Texans have lost their last five games following an overtime affair, while they've gone 0-8 ATS versus non-conference opponents that have a .400 or less winning percentage.

Detroit Lions

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    The Detroit Lions lead the NFL in averaging 301.8 passing yards per game, but their signal-caller will need to bounce back from a shaky effort last week.

    Matthew Stafford completed just 17 of 39 passes for 266 yards, and two interceptions in a 24-20 setback to the Green Bay Packers as three-point home underdogs in Week 11.

Las Vegas Perspective

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    I reached out to Jimmy Vaccaro earlier this week about this high-profile affair. He serves as the public relations director for William Hill U.S., and here's what he had to say: 

    In a game where they had a chance to salvage their season and keep playoff hopes alive, Detroit spit it up last week. I figure they'll spit it up again this week, and Houston should win this one easily.

Prediction

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    I'm going to recommend that readers back the Detroit Lions in this non-conference affair, as they've gone 5-3 ATS as a home underdog of seven or fewer points since 2010.

    NFL Week 12 Pick: Detroit Lions +4

     

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