Updated NFL MVP Odds After NFL Week 11

James Dudko@@JamesDudkoFeatured ColumnistNovember 20, 2012

Updated NFL MVP Odds After NFL Week 11

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    Some monster performances land some new faces on the MVP odds list after Week 11, including the Houston Texans' star wide receiver.

    There's also a pass-rusher who has entered the conversation for Defensive Player of the Year. They are joined by the usual cast of characters, some of whom have tumbled after struggling this week.

    The top overall pick in the draft is the most notable player to fall off the list. He is replaced by the player taken second overall.

Most Notable Player to Fall off the List: Andrew Luck, QB, Indianapolis Colts

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    Committing four turnovers on the road is enough to see Andrew Luck bumped off the list. The first overall pick struggled against a consistent barrage of blitzes from the New England Patriots.

    Luck was guilty of some rash decisions against the opportunistic Patriots. He was targeted by Bill Belichick and crumbled under the pressure.

    Despite his bad week, Luck has already proved he has the talent to rebound. Don't be surprised to see him back on this list in the near future.

Honorable Mention: A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

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    A.J. Green takes a fall this week, thanks to a huge game from another wide receiver. However, Green still rates an honourable mention, after taking his season tally to 911 yards.

    Green tormented the hapless Kansas City Chiefs and added his 10th touchdown of the season.

    The second-year sensation remains the key to the Cincinnati Bengals pass offense and their hopes for a playoff berth.

10. Andre Johnson, WR, Houston Texans

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    Andre Johnson's second big game out of three is enough to land him a spot on this list. The 31-year-old put up some staggering numbers in Week 11 against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

    Johnson recorded 14 catches for 273 yards and sparked the Texans comeback against their plucky AFC South rivals. Johnson now has 870 receiving yards and 60 catches for the season.

    However, a mere three touchdowns makes him a long shot for MVP—as does playing on a Texans team defined by running game and defense.

    Odds: 50-1

9. Aldon Smith, OLB/DE, San Francisco 49ers

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    The NFL's sack leader belongs on this list after ripping apart the Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football. Aldon Smith savaged the Bears with an awesome 5.5-sack display.

    That gives him 15 quarterback takedowns for the season, already surpassing his exceptional rookie tally from 2011. As a pure pass-rusher, Smith knows no equal in the league.

    He has overtaken Justin Smith and Patrick Willis as the one player on the San Francisco 49ers defense that offenses fear.

    Sadly for Smith, the performances of another defensive star hurt his MVP odds.

    Odds: 40-1

8. Von Miller, OLB/DE, Denver Broncos

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    Hybrid ace Von Miller is becoming more dominant each week. In Week 11, he showcased his incredible talent against the San Diego Chargers.

    Miller destroyed the Chargers offense, delivering two tackles for loss and three sacks. He also forced two fumbles.

    That's the kind of complete defensive performance that wins games. Miller is giving the Denver Broncos a level of balance that makes them legitimate Super Bowl contenders.

    Odds: 30-1

7. Adrian Peterson, RB, Minnesota Vikings

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    A week off did nothing to change Adrian Peterson's position as this season's most dynamic running back. Peterson remains the driving force behind the Minnesota Vikings' surprising push toward playoff contention.

    Teams have had no answer to his quick-striking power and acceleration. His comeback from serious injury only strengthens Peterson's case for MVP recognition.

    Whether that will be enough to elevate him above a quarterback come awards time is another matter altogether.

    Odds: 25-1

6. Robert Griffin III, QB, Washington Redskins

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    Week 11 provided the perfect illustration of what makes Robert Griffin III a top talent. The Washington Redskins rookie quarterback threw for four touchdowns and ran for 84 yards without looking special.

    Griffin often dallied in the pocket, showing the hesitancy one usually associates with a first-year passer. However, his natural athleticism and knack for the big play mean Griffin can often get away with these mistakes.

    Most of his rushing yards against the Philadelphia Eagles rescued plays that had been ruined by Griffin's own indecision. His desperation heave, turned into a touchdown by Santana Moss, proved that fortune was with Griffin in Week 11.

    Odds: 20-1

5. Matt Ryan, QB, Atlanta Falcons

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    Matt Ryan is lucky not to fall further down this list after a five-interception horror show in Week 11. As it is, he still slides from second to fifth.

    That's partly because the Atlanta Falcons quarterback has still thrown for more yards than anyone in the NFL. However, this week the Falcons were victorious in spite of Ryan, rather than because of him.

    Odds: 12-1

4. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Green Bay Packers

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    Aaron Rodgers stayed smart and patient in the face of consistent pressure from the Detroit Lions defense. Rodgers was rarely given a clean and free pocket but still managed to produce the plays when his team needed them.

    2011's MVP led the Green Bay Packers back to the summit of the NFC North by tossing two touchdowns.

    He was out-performed by his closest competitors in Week 11, but Rodgers remains a prime candidate for MVP.

    Odds: 7-1

3. Tom Brady, QB, New England Patriots

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    Tom Brady remains a top contender for MVP after a near faultless performance against the Indianapolis Colts. Brady threw three touchdown passes and posted a 127.2 rating.

    He still has only three interceptions and is the mind behind the NFL's best offense. Brady will remain in the mix for MVP as the New England Patriots look to lock down the AFC East.

    Odds: 6-1

2. Peyton Manning, QB, Denver Broncos

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    Another three-touchdown performance is enough to keep Peyton Manning near the top of the MVP rankings. Manning helped the Denver Broncos put a stranglehold on the AFC West by dismantling the Chargers in Week 11.

    He rebounded from an early pick-six to guide the Broncos offense with ruthless efficiency. Manning connected on scoring players with three of his receivers.

    The 36-year-old has ended the debate about how well he could recover from a year out with injury.

    Odds: 5-1

1. Drew Brees, QB, New Orleans Saints

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    Drew Brees deservedly takes the top spot after another superb contribution to the revival of the New Orleans Saints. Brees was precision itself as he threw three touchdown passes to spark the Saints' trouncing of the Oakland Raiders.

    The 33-year-old leads the NFL in touchdown passes with 28. He has also thrown for the second-most yards, behind Ryan.

    Brees has become a relentless scoring machine who is intent on dragging the Saints into the playoffs. If he succeeds, he has to win MVP.

    Odds: 4-1