LSU vs. Arkansas: How Razorbacks Can Pull Off the Major Upset
When the LSU Tigers travel to Razorback Stadium this Friday afternoon, many are going to expect an easy victory over the 4-7 Arkansas Razorbacks. Both of these teams have had completely different seasons and the game that takes place at 2:30 p.m. ET on CBS should result in a blowout.
However, we can never overlook a talented team such as Arkansas, especially in a rivalry game that has been decided by single-digits in six of the last seven meetings. The Razorbacks have absolutely nothing to play for and would like nothing more than to knock LSU out a chance to reach a BCS bowl.
Besides LSU getting lost in the mall on Black Friday, here are couple of ways the Razorbacks can pull off the major upset this weekend.
Move the Chains
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With this being the last game of the season for the Razorbacks, the team needs to just forget about the defensive side of the ball and let the offense go to work. The defense allowed over 500 total yards to Louisiana-Monroe, over 700 to Texas A&M and 505 last weekend to Mississippi State. I think it's safe to say that the defense isn't going to improve and is what everybody thought it was going to be before the season began.
The offense, however, actually has talent led by quarterback Tyler Wilson, wide receiver Cobi Hamilton and running back Knile Davis. All three of those players are capable of being the best at their positions, but haven't played consistent throughout the year.
The good news is that the team is averaging a little over six yards a carry and has produced more than 350 total yards over the last eight games. Wilson is beginning to find his groove, completing well over 60 percent of his passes and throwing a pair of touchdowns in the last two games.
LSU's defense hasn't exactly been consistent either, giving up more than 400 yards in two of the last four games and allowing three 100-yard rushing performances in the last month. Lately, teams have shown the ability to pass on this Tigers secondary and the front seven hasn't been as dominating in stopping the run as we are used to seeing from LSU squads.
Who wins the game?
Arkansas needs to get the offense going in this game and produce the way we all know it is capable of because the defense isn't going to win this rivalry matchup.
Stop Coughing the Ball Up
It doesn't matter how many yards the offense is able to pick up in this game, you turn the ball over and you will not win. It really doesn't get any easier than that.
We can talk about how poor the defense has played this season, but it is the offense that has turned the ball over 29 times this year. That is good for dead last in the SEC and tied for 115th in the country, with only a handful of teams worse at giving the ball to the other team.
Arkansas has gone 10 games with at least two turnovers. If you aren't very good at math, there has only been one game all season that the Razorbacks have not given the ball away at least twice. That is simply inexcusable and speaks volumes to the team’s failure this year and why the program will miss the bowl season altogether.
Arkansas' minus-1.55 turnover ratio is second worst in the country only behind Hawaii.
Before the Razorbacks go out there and try to pull off one of the biggest upsets of the 2012 season, the offense needs to go an entire game without giving up the football. Avoid one turnover in this game and Arkansas will give itself a chance to win.
Note: All stats come from cfbstats.com unless otherwise noted.
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