Which BCS Title Contender Is Most Likely to Choke in Final Regular Season Game?

Randy ChambersAnalyst INovember 21, 2012

Which BCS Title Contender Is Most Likely to Choke in Final Regular Season Game?

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    This season has been one for the ages if you are a fan of the BCS.

    With only one regular season game remaining for most teams in college football, we still have a handful of clubs eligible to play for the BCS National Championship.

    The latest BCS rankings look a lot different than they did a week ago, and there is a possibility that things will continue to change down the stretch. With the last week of the year being rivalry week, you can never really count out an upset taking place and turning the college football landscape upside down once again.

    But with the last title push quickly approaching, which teams will choke their way out of a national championship appearance?

    Let's take a look at the five teams that have a realistic shot of earning a trip in the big game and who will remove themselves from the conversation after this weekend.

5. Alabama

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    Opponent: Vs. Auburn  

    Auburn has shown very little sign of life this year and is currently 0-7 against SEC opponents.

    The matchup takes place in Alabama and Auburn has had an offense that has had issues scoring all season long. The Tigers were shut out by the Georgia Bulldogs and only managed to score seven points against a horrible Arkansas unit.

    Now, they will play against a defense that is ranked second in the country and will be lucky to score double-digit points. This is a team that has given up and hopefully Auburn can get back on the right track so this great rivalry is a little closer next season.

    Odds Team Loses: 5%

4. Georgia

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    Opponent: Vs. Georgia Tech 

    Georgia has been able to take advantage of a cupcake schedule all season long, and a matchup against Georgia Tech is really no different. The Yellow Jackets do have the third-best rushing attack in the country, but with the athletic defense of the Bulldogs that is improving each week, Georgia should quickly figure out the triple-option and slow down this one-dimensional team.

    On defense, Georgia Tech should struggle against one of the more balanced offenses in the SEC, as it has allowed over 400 total yards five times this year. The Bulldogs have won 10 of the last 11 in this meeting, and the dominance should continue this weekend.

    Odds Team Loses: 10%

3. Notre Dame

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    Opponent: At USC 

    Put Matt Barkley in this game and Notre Dame would be on upset alert, but with an injured shoulder, USC will now turn to freshman Max Wittek as the starting quarterback. You can't possibly feel good about this situation considering his first complete game will be against the No. 6 defense in the country in Notre Dame. The Trojans have also been a team that has hurt themselves all year with 29 turnovers on the season and averaging nearly nine penalties a contest.

    You still have to respect the playmakers that remain on this USC roster, but unless Wittek can turn into the next Johnny Manziel overnight, it is hard not to go with the Irish in this game.

    Odds Team Loses: 20%

2. Oregon

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    Opponent: At Oregon State 

    Oregon has never lost two games in a row in the four years head coach Chip Kelly has ran this program. The Ducks offense really stopped flying last weekend against Stanford, picking up only four first downs on 17 third-down attempts and reaching the red zone only twice. We know Oregon State has played solid defense all season, but I’m not sure it is quick and athletic enough to keep up with the playmakers that Oregon has.

    It took the Cardinal a few years to put together a defensive performance like that, and the Beavers may be a little over their head in this one. UCLA produced over 400 yards of offense, Arizona had its way with Oregon State and Stanford put a hurting on this unit as well. This should be one of the better games of the weekend, but I am not betting against the Ducks coming off a loss.

    Odds Team Loses: 30%

1. Florida

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    Opponent: At Florida State 

    For starters, this game will take place in Doak Campbell Stadium, which is not exactly a place opponents get excited about playing. Florida has also shown us two different sides all season. One minute the team is overpowering LSU and South Carolina; the next it is in a fight for its life against a Sun Belt and FCS opponent.

    Florida State has the best defense in the country and should make things difficult for a Florida offense that has no passing game whatsoever. This should be a defensive battle that comes down to the wire, with the first team that scores two touchdowns likely going home with the victory.

    For the first time since 2006, the outcome of this game will likely be decided by one possession.

    Odds Team Loses: 50%